Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna Prediction, Tips & Odds
Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna
Match Preview
The model favours Red Bull Salzburg to win against Austria Vienna, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Salzburg currently sits in third place in the Bundesliga standings with a solid start to their season, having garnered 7 points from 3 matches. They have demonstrated strong defensive capabilities, conceding only 1 goal while scoring 5, resulting in a positive goal difference of 4. Their recent form shows they are unbeaten in their last five matches, further solidifying their position as favourites. On the other hand, Austria Vienna finds itself in eighth place with just 3 points from their first three games. Their season has been challenging, with 1 win and 2 losses, leading to a goal difference of -3. They have struggled defensively, allowing 5 goals while only managing to score 2. Their recent form indicates difficulties, with only 2 wins in their last five matches and a tendency to concede goals. The model indicates a high probability of victory for Red Bull Salzburg, backed by their strong start and solid form. However, a caveat to consider is the potential for Austria Vienna to improve their performance, especially if they can tighten their defence. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilizes an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Red Bull Salzburg leads 8-1)Red Bull Salzburg hold the edge in this fixture, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings with 1 draws and 1 Austria Vienna win. The record points to a tie Red Bull Salzburg have controlled for years, though the draws show Austria Vienna have at times kept it tight.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 | WDW |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | WWD |
| 5 |  Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | LDW |
| 6 |  Austria Lustenau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 8 | Austria Vienna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 10 |  Ried | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 11 |  WSG Wattens | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 12 |  TSV Hartberg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRed Bull Salzburg have won 8 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 and beat Red Bull Salzburg 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 6D 11L from the last 33 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Austria Vienna have won 8 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Austria Vienna 0-2 and beat Beitar Jerusalem 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 10L from the last 30 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRed Bull Salzburg
No reported absences
Austria Vienna
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
