Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC
Match Preview
The model favours Wolfsberger AC to win the match against Grazer AK, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Wolfsberger AC currently sits in fourth place in the league standings, having played three matches this season. Their form has been solid, with three wins in their last five matches, indicating a team that is finding its rhythm. They have scored five goals while conceding only three, showcasing an effective attack and a relatively sturdy defence. In contrast, Grazer AK is positioned eighth, with one win and one loss from their two matches played. Their goal difference of -2, with two goals scored and four conceded, highlights some defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by a more potent opponent like Wolfsberger AC. Grazer AK has also shown inconsistency, winning three of their last five matches but failing to maintain a steady form. According to the model, Wolfsberger AC has a higher probability of winning this match, with an estimated score of 2-1. While the model suggests a clear advantage for Wolfsberger AC, an area of concern could be their ability to handle Grazer AK's home advantage, which can sometimes lead to unexpected outcomes. For a detailed breakdown of how this prediction was reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team relies on an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.
Wolfsberger AC have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Wolfsberger AC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 1.72 | 2.08 | 1.59 | 2.18 | |
| 3.30 | 3.70 | 1.95 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.48 | 3.66 | 2.04 | 1.73 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.00 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.02 | 1.72 | 2.08 | 1.59 | 2.21 | |
Betano | 3.40 | 3.55 | 2.02 | 1.72 | 2.07 | 1.60 | 2.18 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Wolfsberger AC leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between Grazer AK and Wolfsberger AC, Wolfsberger AC has won 6 times, Grazer AK has won 3 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines suggest a competitive rivalry, though Wolfsberger AC has had the upper hand, with several narrow victories including a 1-0 win and a 2-1 win. However, there have also been high-scoring encounters, such as the 4-2 and 6-0 matches. Grazer AK's last victory came in March 2026, indicating that they have struggled to find consistent success against Wolfsberger AC in recent fixtures.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 | WDW |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | WWD |
| 5 | Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | LDW |
| 6 |  Austria Lustenau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 9 | Grazer AK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 3 | LWL |
| 10 |  Ried | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 11 |  WSG Wattens | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 12 |  TSV Hartberg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonGrazer AK have won 9 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Austria Lustenau 2-1 and lost to Dynamo Dresden 0-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 10L from the last 29 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Wolfsberger AC have won 5 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Wolfsberger AC 2-1 and beat Lauterach 1-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 8D 10L from the last 32 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersGrazer AK
No reported absences
Wolfsberger AC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Grazer AK have averaged 2.0 corners per match at home; Wolfsberger AC 3.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 3.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Wolfsberger AC have generated 1.40 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 3.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Wolfsberger AC player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
