TSV Hartberg vs Ried Prediction, Tips & Odds
TSV Hartberg vs Ried
Match Preview
The model favours Ried to win this match against TSV Hartberg, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Ried currently sits in 10th place in the league standings, having collected 1 point from their opening three matches. Despite their struggles, they have managed to score 3 goals, showing some attacking potential, albeit with a goal difference of -4. Their recent form includes one win, one draw, and three losses, indicating a team that is capable of competing but still seeking consistency. On the other hand, TSV Hartberg finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 12th place, having lost all three of their matches without scoring a single goal. Their goal difference of -5 reflects their defensive vulnerabilities, and their recent form consists of one win and four losses, which does not inspire confidence heading into this fixture. Hartberg's inability to find the back of the net will be a significant concern as they try to turn their season around. The model gives Ried a higher win probability, reflecting their marginally better form and scoring ability. However, a caveat for Ried is their defensive frailties, which could allow Hartberg to capitalize if they find their rhythm. The full methodology of our predictions is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which uses an in-house model assessing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (TSV Hartberg leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between TSV Hartberg and Ried, TSV Hartberg has won 6 times, with 2 draws and 2 victories for Ried. The scorelines indicate a strong advantage for Hartberg, particularly with six of their wins coming by a margin of at least two goals, which suggests a pattern of dominance. Ried's last win in this fixture was in March 2022, highlighting a prolonged struggle against Hartberg. Overall, the matches have tended to be low scoring, with several encounters ending with one goal or fewer, reinforcing Hartberg's control in this rivalry.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 | WDW |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | WWD |
| 5 |  Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | LDW |
| 6 |  Austria Lustenau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 10 | Ried | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 11 |  WSG Wattens | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 12 | TSV Hartberg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTSV Hartberg have won 8 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Austria Vienna 0-2 and lost to Sturm Graz 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 9L from the last 30 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Ried have won 1 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Ried 4-1 and drew with Austria Lustenau 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 14L from the last 33 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTSV Hartberg
No reported absences
Ried
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
