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Ried vs Rapid Vienna Prediction, Tips & Odds

Ried vs Rapid Vienna

BundesligaRegular Season - 2
Ried
#10 · Bundesliga
LLDWL
1 - 2
Innviertel Arena, Ried
Referee: W. Altmann
Rapid Vienna
#1 · Bundesliga
WWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.70 (implied 58.7%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 61.2% probability (an expert ratio of 1.63). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (61.2% vs 58.7%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Rapid Vienna to win this match against Ried, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Rapid Vienna is currently enjoying an impressive run, having won their last five matches in a row. This strong form is supported by their consistent performance, indicating a team that is both confident and effective in converting opportunities into goals. On the other hand, Ried's recent form shows a mix of results, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency may hinder their ability to compete against a side as dominant as Rapid Vienna. Ried will need to find a way to stabilize their performance if they wish to pose a serious challenge in this fixture. The model gives Rapid Vienna a significant advantage, reflected in their win probability and projected score. However, a potential caveat is that Ried could exploit any lapses in concentration from Rapid Vienna, especially if they can capitalize on set pieces or counter-attacks. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, crafted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team through an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Ried Win31%3.17
Draw24%3.27
Rapid Vienna Win45%2.21
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7056.5%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.9152.8%

Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Ried 1-1 Rapid Vienna
6.0116.7%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.7% probability.

Asian Handicap
Rapid Vienna -0.0
1.5739%

Rapid Vienna have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.01
16.7%
0-1
7.45
13.5%
1-2
8.26
12.2%
0-0
9.05
11.2%
1-0
9.30
10.9%
2-1
10.23
9.9%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Ried
-0.0
2.34
Rapid Vienna
+0.0
1.57
Ried
-0.3
2.72
Rapid Vienna
+0.3
1.87
Ried
-0.5
2.88
Rapid Vienna
+0.5
2.20
Ried
-1.5
7.00
Rapid Vienna
+1.5
4.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Rapid Vienna are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Ried vs Rapid Vienna
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.253.352.151.931.851.702.00
Marathonbet
3.243.302.171.901.871.702.01
Betfair
3.253.302.101.911.801.732.00
Pinnacle
3.413.432.231.961.93
SBO
3.013.102.201.951.91
William Hill
3.003.102.251.702.05
Bet365
3.303.302.201.901.901.702.05
1xBet
3.243.302.191.901.871.702.04
Unibet
2.903.302.301.861.811.682.00
888Sport
2.903.002.382.001.751.751.95
Betano
3.253.302.201.931.851.702.02
Superbet
3.153.252.251.881.821.702.05
BetVictor
3.253.502.151.851.821.672.05

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
89.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
72.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
52.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
28.9%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XRied or Draw
55%1.63
12Ried or Rapid Vienna
76%1.30
X2Draw or Rapid Vienna
69%1.33

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Rapid Vienna leads 5-4)
4 Ried1 Draw5 Rapid Vienna
25 May
Rapid Vienna
3-0
Ried
Bundesliga
22 May
Ried
2-1
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
31 Jan
Ried
3-0
Rapid Vienna
Cup
Dec 25
Rapid Vienna
1-2
Ried
Bundesliga
Oct 25
Ried
0-2
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
Apr 23
Rapid Vienna
2-1
Ried
Cup
Oct 22
Ried
1-0
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
Jul 22
Rapid Vienna
1-0
Ried
Bundesliga
Nov 21
Ried
2-2
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
Aug 21
Rapid Vienna
3-0
Ried
Bundesliga

The head-to-head record between Ried and Rapid Vienna stands at 4 wins for Ried, 1 draw, and 5 wins for Rapid Vienna over the last 10 matches. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested; however, Rapid Vienna has secured more victories, including three matches with a score of 3-0. Ried's wins have also featured narrow margins, with two matches ending in 2-1. The lone draw was a 2-2 result, suggesting that while Rapid Vienna has the edge, the matches often remain tight, with Ried last winning in December 2025.

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rapid Vienna
3300111109
WWW
2
Lask Linz
33009189
WWW
3
Red Bull Salzburg
32105147
WDW
4
Sturm Graz
32104137
WWD
5
Wolfsberger AC
31115324
LDW
6
Austria Lustenau
31114404
WLD
10
Ried
301237-41
LLD
11
WSG Wattens
301227-51
LLD
12
TSV Hartberg
300305-50
LLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
RiedHome
0W0D1L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 20.00 pts/game
Rapid ViennaAway
1W0D0L
1 playedGF 2 · GA 13.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
RiedRapid Vienna
1.45Goals p.g.1.94
1.48Goals conceded p.g.1.18
15%Clean sheets32%
36%Win rate56%
2.94Avg goals in match3.12
0.88xG per game1.55
-0.03xGA per game-0.14
47%Possession %61%
4.0Shots on target / game5.4
2.7Corners per game4.8
Ried
Recent Form

Ried have won 11 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Ried 1-2 and beat Ried 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 14L from the last 33 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: RiedAll competitions
14 Aug
Lask Linz
4-1
Ried
Bundesliga
09 Aug
Ried
1-2
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
02 Aug
Austria Lustenau
1-1
Ried
Bundesliga
24 Jul
Dornbirn
1-5
Ried
Cup
18 Jul
Mlada Boleslav
4-0
Ried
Friendlies Clubs
17 Jul
Ried
3-0
Rot-Weiß Essen
Friendlies Clubs
12
Win
36%
7
Draw
21%
14
Lost
42%
Rapid Vienna
Recent Form

Rapid Vienna have won 5 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Ried 1-2 and beat Paide 1-4.

Overall, the wider run reads 19W 6D 9L from the last 34 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Rapid ViennaAll competitions
16 Aug
Rapid Vienna
8-0
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
12 Aug
Rapid Vienna
2-0
Paide
UEFA Europa Conference League
09 Aug
Ried
1-2
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
06 Aug
Paide
1-4
Rapid Vienna
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Aug
Rapid Vienna
1-0
SCR Altach
Bundesliga
29 Jul
Rapid Vienna
6-2
FC Santa Coloma
UEFA Europa Conference League
19
Win
56%
6
Draw
18%
9
Lost
26%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Ried

No reported absences

Rapid Vienna

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Both Teams Score1.70 (56.5%)
Value Bets
Ried Win3.17 (30.9%)
Rapid Vienna Win2.21 (45.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.91 (52.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.85 (47.2%)
BTTS No2.02 (43.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.27 (23.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

W. Altmann has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Ried have averaged 2.7 corners per match at home; Rapid Vienna 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Rapid Vienna have generated 1.55 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rapid Vienna player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.