Ried vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC
Match Preview
The model favours Wolfsberger AC to win this match against Ried, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Wolfsberger AC currently sits in 7th place in the league, having played five matches this season with one victory, two draws, and two losses. Their goal difference stands at zero, with six goals scored and six conceded. This indicates a team that has struggled to find consistent form but has managed to keep their games relatively close. On the other hand, Ried is positioned 9th in the standings, also with five matches played but has only managed one win, alongside one draw and three losses, resulting in a negative goal difference of minus four. They have scored six goals but conceded ten, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by Wolfsberger AC. Ried's recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses, suggesting some potential for improvement, but inconsistency remains a concern. According to the model, Wolfsberger AC has a win probability of around 45%, with Ried slightly lower at 30%. One key market percentage indicates a potential for Wolfsberger AC to win by a one-goal margin. However, a caveat to consider is that if Ried can tighten their defence and exploit any weaknesses in Wolfsberger's play, they could pull off a surprise. The full method of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as analyzed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.
Ried have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Ried are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.96 | 3.45 | 3.64 | 1.67 | 2.13 | 1.56 | 2.24 | |
| 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.82 | 1.72 | 2.21 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.33 | 3.25 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.40 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.98 | 3.45 | 3.64 | 1.67 | 2.13 | 1.56 | 2.28 | |
Betano | 1.95 | 3.55 | 3.65 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.50 | 1.65 | 2.06 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Wolfsberger AC leads 4-3)In the last 10 matches between Ried and Wolfsberger AC, Ried has won 3 times, there have been 3 draws, and Wolfsberger AC has won 4 times. The scorelines suggest a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, including three draws and four matches decided by a single goal. The most recent draw was a goalless affair, indicating that defenses have played a significant role in these encounters. Notably, Ried's last victory over Wolfsberger AC was in October 2022, suggesting that they have struggled to secure wins in recent matchups.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lask Linz | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 14 | DWWWD |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 11 | WLDWW |
| 5 |  WSG Wattens | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | DWWLL |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 10 | Ried | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 | DLWLL |
| 11 |  Austria Lustenau | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 | LLDWL |
| 12 |  SCR Altach | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | LLLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRied have won 12 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Ried 1-0 and beat Ried 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 7D 13L from the last 34 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Wolfsberger AC have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Wolfsberger AC 2-2 and drew with Grazer AK 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 9D 10L from the last 33 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRied
No reported absences
Wolfsberger AC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Alexander Harkam has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Alexander Harkam to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Ried have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Wolfsberger AC 3.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Ried have generated 0.54 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 1.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Ried player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.