TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz Prediction, Tips & Odds
TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz
Match Preview
The model favours Lask Linz to win this match against TSV Hartberg, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Lask Linz currently sits at the top of the Bundesliga table with a perfect record of five wins from five matches, accumulating 15 points and boasting a remarkable goal difference of +13. Their attacking prowess is evident, having scored 15 goals while conceding only 2, making them a formidable opponent this season. On the other hand, TSV Hartberg is positioned sixth in the league with just 6 points from their five matches, having won twice and lost three times. While they have shown some resilience, evidenced by their recent form of three wins in their last five matches, their overall goal difference of -3 indicates defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by Lask Linz's high-scoring attack. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 70% for Lask Linz, with the projected score being 2-1. One key market percentage to consider is Lask Linz's strong away form, which could play a crucial role in this match. However, Hartberg could pose a threat if they manage to harness their recent form effectively. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.2% probability.
Lask Linz have been the stronger side, winning 68% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-2 Lask Linz win as the most likely scoreline at 14.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Lask Linz are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 10.50 | 5.35 | 1.26 | 1.43 | 2.46 | 1.84 | 1.84 | |
| 11.00 | 5.50 | 1.22 | 1.47 | 2.63 | 1.80 | 1.90 | |
| 10.64 | 5.57 | 1.29 | 1.48 | 2.68 | — | — | |
| 7.34 | 5.13 | 1.26 | — | — | — | — | |
| 10.00 | 5.00 | 1.29 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.28 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.91 | 1.91 | |
| 10.50 | 5.35 | 1.27 | 1.43 | 2.46 | 1.84 | 1.86 | |
Betano | 8.75 | 5.50 | 1.29 | 1.47 | 2.57 | 1.82 | 1.88 |
BetVictor | 9.50 | 5.75 | 1.25 | 1.44 | 2.63 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Lask Linz leads 4-1)In the last 10 matches between TSV Hartberg and Lask Linz, the record stands at 1 win for Hartberg, 4 wins for Lask Linz, and 5 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive series, with several matches ending in draws and a mix of close encounters, such as two 0-0 results and three matches that ended 2-2 or 3-3. While Lask Linz has a slight edge with four victories, the overall balance, marked by frequent draws, suggests that matches between these teams tend to be tightly contested rather than one-sided. Hartberg's last win against Lask Linz was some time ago, highlighting a challenging trend for them in these fixtures.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lask Linz | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 14 | DWWWD |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 11 | WLDWW |
| 5 |  WSG Wattens | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | DWWLL |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 10 |  Ried | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 | DLWLL |
| 11 |  Austria Lustenau | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 | LLDWL |
| 12 |  SCR Altach | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | LLLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTSV Hartberg have won 9 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat TSV Hartberg 3-2 and lost to TSV Hartberg 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 8D 7L from the last 31 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lask Linz have won 10 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Lask Linz 1-6 and beat Wolfsberger AC 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 23W 5D 6L from the last 34 games (68% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTSV Hartberg
No reported absences
Lask Linz
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Safak Barmaksiz has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Safak Barmaksiz to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
TSV Hartberg have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Lask Linz 6.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Lask Linz have generated 2.30 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 68% of them. They put 7.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Lask Linz player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.