River Plate vs Argentinos JRS Prediction, Tips & Odds
River Plate vs Argentinos JRS
Match Preview
The model favours River Plate to win against Argentinos JRS, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Despite a recent dip in form, River Plate's strong position in the league reflects their overall performance this season. Currently sitting in second place with 29 points from 16 matches, they have secured nine wins, showcasing their attacking potential with 22 goals scored. However, their recent form shows some concern, as they have only managed one win in their last five matches. Argentinos JRS, on the other hand, is closely trailing River Plate in third place, also with 29 points but having played one match fewer. Their season has been marked by a solid defensive record, conceding only 13 goals. The team's recent form has been impressive, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, indicating they are in good spirits and capable of challenging the top teams. The model gives River Plate a win probability of approximately 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a caveat to consider is River Plate's recent struggles, which could impact their performance against a confident Argentinos JRS side. The full methodology used in this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, leveraging expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
River Plate have kept a clean sheet in 43% of matches. Argentinos JRS average 1.2 goals per game.
River Plate manage games at home, conceding just 0.80 goals per match. Argentinos JRS score 1.19 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 19.7% probability.
River Plate have been the stronger side, winning 49% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 River Plate win as the most likely scoreline at 19.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature River Plate clean sheets, in line with their 43% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. River Plate are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
River Plate vs Argentinos JRS| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.35 | 2.55 | 1.50 | 2.20 | 1.60 | |
| 1.91 | 3.20 | 4.25 | 2.39 | 1.46 | 2.15 | 1.61 | |
| 1.91 | 3.10 | 4.33 | 2.55 | 1.50 | 2.20 | 1.65 | |
| 1.91 | 2.98 | 4.02 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.91 | 3.10 | 4.00 | — | — | 2.15 | 1.65 | |
| 1.91 | 3.20 | 4.50 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 1.94 | 3.26 | 4.32 | 2.50 | 1.53 | 2.15 | 1.63 | |
| 1.97 | 3.10 | 4.20 | 2.65 | 1.46 | 2.23 | 1.58 | |
| 1.91 | 3.10 | 4.00 | 2.45 | 1.50 | 2.15 | 1.65 | |
Betano | 2.00 | 3.30 | 4.50 | 2.60 | 1.53 | 2.20 | 1.62 |
BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.20 | 4.40 | 2.36 | 1.50 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (River Plate leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches between River Plate and Argentinos JRS, River Plate has won 5 times, with 2 draws and Argentinos JRS winning 3. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitiveness and occasional dominance, with River Plate achieving notable victories, including a 3-0 and a 4-2 win. The matches have produced a combination of narrow results, such as the 1-1 and 2-1 outcomes, alongside heavier wins for River Plate. Argentinos JRS last claimed victory in February 2026, suggesting a challenging recent history against River Plate.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | DLWLW |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WLLLL |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DDWDL |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DDWWW |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LDLLL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | DLLDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRiver Plate have won 11 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat River Plate 2-0 and lost to River Plate 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 7D 11L from the last 35 games (49% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Argentinos JRS have won 5 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Argentinos JRS 2-0 and beat Belgrano Cordoba 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 5L from the last 27 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRiver Plate
No reported absences
Argentinos JRS
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
F. Tello has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
River Plate have averaged 5.7 corners per match at home; Argentinos JRS 5.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
River Plate have generated 1.49 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 49% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. River Plate player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
