Rizespor vs Alanyaspor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rizespor vs Alanyaspor
Match Preview
The model favours Alanyaspor to win against Rizespor, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Alanyaspor currently sits in 5th place in the Süper Lig standings, having played two matches this season. With one win and one draw, they have scored two goals while conceding just one, resulting in a positive goal difference of one. Their recent form has been solid, with two wins and two draws in their last five matches, indicating a resilient side that can maintain pressure. Rizespor, on the other hand, is positioned 12th in the league after two games, with one win and one loss. They have managed to score only one goal while conceding two, leading to a goal difference of minus one. Their recent form shows some inconsistency, with two wins and two losses in their last five outings. This could indicate struggles in maintaining defensive solidity against a more stable Alanyaspor side. The model output gives Alanyaspor a win probability of approximately 60%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat for Alanyaspor could be complacency, as they may underestimate a Rizespor team that is keen to improve their standing. The full methodology of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.4% probability.
Rizespor have been the stronger side, winning 37% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Rizespor clean sheets, in line with their 22% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Rizespor are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rizespor vs Alanyaspor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.84 | 3.45 | 4.20 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.77 | 1.93 | |
| 1.82 | 3.38 | 4.40 | 1.99 | 1.79 | 1.83 | 1.85 | |
| 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.33 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.90 | |
| 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.74 | 2.06 | 1.84 | — | — | |
| 1.82 | 3.28 | 3.97 | 2.04 | 1.80 | — | — | |
| 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.40 | — | — | 1.83 | 1.91 | |
| 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.50 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 1.89 | 3.52 | 4.58 | 2.05 | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.87 | |
| 1.86 | 3.45 | 4.20 | 1.97 | 1.72 | 1.83 | 1.84 | |
Betano | 1.90 | 3.45 | 4.75 | 2.05 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 1.91 |
Superbet | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.25 | 2.05 | 1.78 | 1.88 | 1.85 |
BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.33 | 1.93 | 1.75 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Alanyaspor leads 5-2)In the last 10 matches between Rizespor and Alanyaspor, Alanyaspor leads with 5 wins, while Rizespor has 2 victories and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, as evidenced by the 0-0 draws and narrow victories. Alanyaspor's wins include a couple of 2-1 results, showcasing their ability to edge out Rizespor in tight encounters. Rizespor's last win against Alanyaspor dates back to November 2021, suggesting a recent trend favoring Alanyaspor in this matchup.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Kocaelispor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | WWWL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | WLWD |
| 5 |  Amed | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWLW |
| 6 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 9 | Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | WLW |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | LWD |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLL |
| 17 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | LLD |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRizespor have won 7 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Rizespor 0-2 and beat Rizespor 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 9L from the last 27 games (37% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Alanyaspor have won 1 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Alanyaspor 2-1 and lost to Fatih Karagümrük 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 8D 10L from the last 23 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedRizespor4-1-4-1Confirmed
Alanyaspor3-4-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
1 playerRizespor1
Alanyaspor
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Rizespor have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Alanyaspor 4.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rizespor have generated 0.75 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 37% of them. They put 3.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rizespor player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
