Samsunspor vs Çorum FK Prediction, Tips & Odds
Samsunspor vs Çorum FK
Match Preview
The model favours Samsunspor to win against Çorum FK, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Samsunspor currently sits in 9th place in the league with four points from three matches, having scored five goals while conceding five. Their season form shows some inconsistency, but they have demonstrated the ability to find the net, highlighted by their recent performance of two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. On the other hand, Çorum FK is positioned 15th with just one point from two games and has yet to secure a win this season. They have scored two goals but have also conceded three, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Their recent form is similarly mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, but they have struggled to translate that into league points as they seek their first victory. The model gives Samsunspor a solid win probability, and while a victory seems likely, they must address their defensive issues to avoid conceding against Çorum FK. One key market percentage to watch is the likelihood of Samsunspor scoring over 1.5 goals. However, a slip in concentration could allow Çorum FK to exploit any defensive lapses. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures using expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.1% probability.
Çorum FK have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Çorum FK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Samsunspor vs Çorum FK| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.12 | 3.45 | 3.25 | 1.83 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 2.22 | 3.25 | 3.18 | 1.75 | 2.04 | 1.58 | 2.20 | |
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 2.31 | 3.34 | 3.32 | 1.79 | 2.10 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.24 | 2.89 | 1.71 | 2.14 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.31 | 3.38 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 2.10 | 1.58 | 2.23 | |
| 2.04 | 3.25 | 3.45 | 1.96 | 1.73 | 1.77 | 1.91 | |
Betano | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.78 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.71 | 1.98 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (evenly matched 1-1)The head-to-head record between Samsunspor and Çorum FK stands at 1 win for Samsunspor, 0 draws, and 1 win for Çorum FK over the last three matches. The results indicate a competitive series, highlighted by a significant 6-1 victory for Samsunspor in a friendly match, suggesting they can dominate when on form. However, Çorum FK's 2-1 win in their last league encounter shows they are capable of close matches. The absence of draws in this sample further emphasizes the win-lose dynamic between the two teams.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Amed | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 | WWDWL |
| 2 |  Galatasaray | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Beşiktaş | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 12 | LWWWL |
| 4 |  Kocaelispor | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  Alanyaspor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 11 | WDWLW |
| 6 |  Fenerbahçe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 10 | WDLWW |
| 11 | Çorum FK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 | LLLLW |
| 17 |  Göztepe | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 3 | DDLLL |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 3 | LLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSamsunspor have won 6 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Samsunspor 1-5 and lost to Samsunspor 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 12L from the last 33 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Çorum FK have won 3 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Samsunspor 1-5 and lost to Beşiktaş 6-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 4D 5L from the last 16 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedSamsunspor4-3-3Confirmed
Çorum FK4-1-4-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
6 playersSamsunspor6
Çorum FK
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Sansalan has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by A. Sansalan to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Samsunspor have averaged 3.3 corners per match at home; Çorum FK 6.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Çorum FK have generated 1.80 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Çorum FK player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
