Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan
Match Preview
The model favours Huracan to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Sarmiento Junin. Huracan currently sits in 7th place in the Liga Profesional standings with 22 points from 16 matches. Their season has been characterized by a more robust defensive record, conceding only 13 goals, which is significantly better than Sarmiento's 20. Additionally, Huracan has managed to secure five wins and seven draws, indicating a level of consistency that Sarmiento has struggled to match. In contrast, Sarmiento Junin finds itself in 11th place with 19 points, having won just six matches while suffering nine defeats. This season has been challenging for them, particularly with a negative goal difference of -7. Their recent form, with only one win in the last five matches, highlights ongoing struggles, particularly in both attack and defense. The model gives Huracan a win probability of approximately 55%, while Sarmiento’s chances sit around 25%, with the remaining percentage accounting for a draw. However, one key caveat to consider is that Sarmiento could exploit Huracan's recent inconsistency if they manage to capitalize on any defensive lapses. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Sarmiento Junin have kept a clean sheet in 32% of matches. Huracan average 1.0 goals per game.
Sarmiento Junin manage games at home, conceding just 1.24 goals per match. Huracan score 1.00 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 19.3% probability.
Sarmiento Junin have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-0 draw as the most likely scoreline at 19.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Sarmiento Junin are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.00 | 2.74 | 2.70 | 3.10 | 1.35 | 2.35 | 1.53 | |
| 3.12 | 2.73 | 2.59 | 2.94 | 1.31 | 2.33 | 1.52 | |
| 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.63 | 3.00 | 1.33 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 3.28 | 2.79 | 2.70 | 3.27 | 1.36 | — | — | |
| 2.98 | 2.74 | 2.44 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.10 | 2.62 | 2.60 | — | — | 2.30 | 1.57 | |
| 3.30 | 2.80 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 2.38 | 1.53 | |
| 3.18 | 2.78 | 2.64 | 2.94 | 1.31 | 2.33 | 1.54 | |
| 3.05 | 2.80 | 2.63 | 3.05 | 1.36 | 2.30 | 1.55 | |
| 3.10 | 2.63 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 1.36 | 2.30 | 1.57 | |
Betano | 3.20 | 2.75 | 2.67 | 3.20 | 1.38 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
BetVictor | 3.13 | 2.88 | 2.55 | 3.20 | 1.33 | 2.38 | 1.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Huracan leads 5-0)In the last 10 matches between Sarmiento Junin and Huracan, the record stands at 0 wins for Sarmiento, 5 draws, and 5 wins for Huracan. The scorelines indicate a competitive but ultimately one-sided dynamic, with Huracan securing five victories, including a couple of heavy wins such as 4-1 and 3-0. Sarmiento has not managed to win any of these encounters, with their most notable results being five draws, reflecting a tendency towards low-scoring affairs, as seen in the three matches that ended 0-0. The last time Sarmiento Junin won against Huracan was not recorded in this sample.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | DLWLW |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WLLLL |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DDWDL |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 | DLWDL |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LDLLL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | DLLDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSarmiento Junin have won 9 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Estudiantes L.P. 2-0 and beat Huracan 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 2D 12L from the last 25 games (44% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Huracan have won 3 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Sarmiento Junin 2-0 and beat San Lorenzo 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 10D 8L from the last 27 games (33% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSarmiento Junin
No reported absences
Huracan
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
H. Mastrangelo has averaged 5.5 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Sarmiento Junin have averaged 3.5 corners per match at home; Huracan 3.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Sarmiento Junin have generated 1.39 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 3.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sarmiento Junin player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
