Sonderjyske vs Randers FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sonderjyske vs Randers FC
Match Preview
The model favours Randers FC to win against Sonderjyske, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Randers FC currently sits in 7th place in the Superliga, having accumulated 10 points from their seven matches. Their season has been a mix of results, but they have shown competitive form with three wins, including two in their last three outings. The team's balanced goal difference of zero indicates they have been able to match their opponents in scoring and defending, which bodes well for their chances in this fixture. In contrast, Sonderjyske is struggling at the bottom of the table, positioned 12th with just one point from seven matches. Their season has been challenging, reflected in their form of one draw and six losses. With only seven goals scored and 18 conceded, their -11 goal difference highlights significant defensive vulnerabilities that Randers FC may exploit. The pressure is mounting on Sonderjyske to secure points, but their recent struggles suggest they may find it difficult to turn their fortunes around. The model gives Randers FC a strong win probability, supported by their superior league position and form. However, one caveat is that if Sonderjyske can find a spark or if Randers FC underperforms, the outcome could differ from expectations. For a detailed explanation of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.0% probability.
Randers FC have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Randers FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sonderjyske vs Randers FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.70 | 3.55 | 2.36 | 1.68 | 2.11 | 1.55 | 2.26 | |
| 2.63 | 3.60 | 2.40 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 2.78 | 3.83 | 2.42 | 1.72 | 2.21 | — | — | |
| 2.59 | 3.25 | 2.41 | 1.71 | 2.14 | — | — | |
| 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.30 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.70 | 3.55 | 2.36 | 1.68 | 2.11 | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 2.75 | 3.55 | 2.47 | 1.75 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 1.65 | 2.07 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Randers FC leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Sonderjyske and Randers FC, Randers FC has won 6 times, while Sonderjyske has secured 2 victories, with 2 matches ending in draws. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Randers FC to achieve decisive wins, with several matches featuring significant margins, including a 4-0 victory and a 5-1 win. The presence of low-scoring draws and narrower victories suggests that while Randers FC generally dominates, there have been competitive moments. Sonderjyske last defeated Randers FC in August 2024, highlighting a recent struggle to overcome this opponent.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 14 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Viborg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  Brondby | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 6 |  AC Horsens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 7 | Randers FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | WWLLW |
| 10 |  Odense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  Aarhus | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 1 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSonderjyske have won 5 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to AC Horsens 2-5 and lost to FC Nordsjaelland 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 15L from the last 31 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Randers FC have won 4 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Randers FC 0-3 and lost to FC Midtjylland 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 8D 12L from the last 31 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSonderjyske
No reported absences
Randers FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Jens Maae has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Jens Maae to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Sonderjyske have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Randers FC 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Randers FC have generated 1.26 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Randers FC player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.