Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland Prediction, Tips & Odds
Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland
Match Preview
The model favours FC Nordsjaelland to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned third in the league, Nordsjaelland has had a strong start to the season with four wins out of six matches. Their goal difference of +5 highlights a solid offensive and defensive balance, allowing only four goals while scoring nine. This efficiency is crucial as they look to maintain their competitive edge in the standings. Viborg, sitting in fourth place, is not far behind with 13 points from seven matches. They have earned four wins and a draw, but their goal difference of +4 indicates that while they are capable of scoring, they also concede more than their upcoming opponents. Viborg's recent form shows they have managed three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, indicating some inconsistency that could be tested against Nordsjaelland's strong run. The model output suggests a win probability of around 55% for Nordsjaelland, while Viborg's chances sit at approximately 25%. One key market percentage to note is the likelihood of Nordsjaelland scoring at least twice. However, Viborg's home advantage and recent form could pose challenges for Nordsjaelland. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
FC Nordsjaelland have been the stronger side, winning 47% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. FC Nordsjaelland are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.97 | 3.65 | 2.15 | 1.48 | 2.33 | 1.44 | 2.53 | |
| 2.80 | 3.90 | 2.15 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.47 | 2.63 | |
| 3.09 | 3.89 | 2.21 | 1.56 | 2.52 | — | — | |
| 2.81 | 3.42 | 2.16 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.10 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.90 | 3.80 | 2.15 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.98 | 3.65 | 2.17 | 1.48 | 2.33 | 1.44 | 2.58 | |
Betano | 2.90 | 3.70 | 2.30 | 1.55 | 2.52 | 1.45 | 2.62 |
BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 1.51 | 2.34 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC Nordsjaelland leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between Viborg and FC Nordsjaelland, FC Nordsjaelland has won 6 times, Viborg has won 3 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested, such as the 2-1 results in both directions. However, FC Nordsjaelland's victories include a notable 4-1 win, suggesting they can achieve heavy wins. The most recent draw occurred in June 2023, highlighting that both teams have had their moments, but FC Nordsjaelland has had the edge overall in this head-to-head record.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Copenhagen | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 14 | WDWDW |
| 3 | FC Nordsjaelland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Viborg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 5 |  Brondby | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 6 |  AC Horsens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 10 |  Odense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 5 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  Aarhus | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 12 |  Sonderjyske | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 1 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonViborg have won 9 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Lyngby 0-2 and beat FC Copenhagen 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 5D 13L from the last 31 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FC Nordsjaelland have won 8 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 and beat FC ST. Gallen 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 10D 9L from the last 36 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersViborg
No reported absences
FC Nordsjaelland
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Graagaard, Lasse Kirk has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Graagaard, Lasse Kirk to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Viborg have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; FC Nordsjaelland 5.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC Nordsjaelland have generated 2.45 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 47% of them. They put 5.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Nordsjaelland player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.