Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord
Match Preview
The model favours Feyenoord to win this match against Sparta Rotterdam, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Feyenoord enters the season with a strong foundation, having won their last five matches, showcasing a solid form that positions them well as they start their campaign. Despite both teams being at the same point in the standings with no games played yet, Feyenoord's recent success gives them a psychological edge. On the other hand, Sparta Rotterdam's recent form has been less encouraging, with only two wins in their last five matches and three losses. This inconsistency may carry over into the new season, making it challenging for them to find their rhythm against a confident Feyenoord side. Their recent struggles could impact their morale as they face a team that has demonstrated a winning mentality. Overall, the model indicates a win probability that favours Feyenoord significantly, reflecting their recent form and historical performance. However, one caveat is that it is the start of the season, and anything can happen as teams adjust and settle in. For more details on our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.3% probability.
Feyenoord have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Feyenoord are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.40 | 4.10 | 1.67 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.53 | 2.35 | |
| 4.55 | 4.05 | 1.65 | 1.50 | 2.29 | 1.55 | 2.26 | |
| 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.65 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.50 | 2.55 | |
| 4.69 | 4.08 | 1.71 | 1.58 | 2.44 | — | — | |
| 3.76 | 3.62 | 1.71 | — | — | — | — | |
| 4.40 | 3.80 | 1.67 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 4.50 | 4.20 | 1.70 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 4.62 | 4.11 | 1.72 | 1.50 | 2.29 | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 4.35 | 4.00 | 1.68 | 1.54 | 2.45 | 1.52 | 2.38 | |
| 4.40 | 3.80 | 1.67 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
Betano | 4.50 | 4.15 | 1.78 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
Superbet | 4.35 | 4.00 | 1.74 | 1.57 | 2.42 | 1.56 | 2.35 |
BetVictor | 4.40 | 4.10 | 1.67 | 1.53 | 2.29 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Feyenoord leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Sparta Rotterdam and Feyenoord, Feyenoord has won 7 times, with 2 draws and 1 victory for Sparta Rotterdam. This record indicates a strong dominance by Feyenoord, particularly highlighted by several convincing scorelines, including two 4-0 victories. The matches have generally been low-scoring for Sparta, with their only win coming in a high-scoring 4-3 game. Additionally, Sparta has not won against Feyenoord since 2026, suggesting a significant challenge for them in this matchup.
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excelsior | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Telstar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Groningen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 16 |  ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 17 |  Willem II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  Cambuur | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSparta Rotterdam have won 4 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with MSV Duisburg 0-0 and drew with Asteras Tripolis 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 7D 10L from the last 24 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Feyenoord have won 5 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Feyenoord 0-1 and beat Dordrecht 0-6.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 5D 4L from the last 24 games (63% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
7 playersSparta Rotterdam1
Feyenoord6
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
S. van der Eijk has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by S. van der Eijk to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Sparta Rotterdam have averaged 4.1 corners per match at home; Feyenoord 6.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Feyenoord have generated 1.95 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 62% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Feyenoord player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
