St Joseph S Fc vs Bohemians Prediction, Tips & Odds
St Joseph S Fc vs Bohemians
Match Preview
The model favours Bohemians to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Bohemians are currently in strong form, having secured four wins in their last five matches. This positive momentum is critical, especially in the context of a knockout competition like the UEFA Europa Conference League. Their recent success suggests a robust attacking capability, which could prove decisive in this tie. In contrast, St Joseph S Fc has struggled to find consistency, with only one win and two draws in their last five matches. This lack of form might hinder their confidence going into the match. While they have shown resilience, the inability to convert draws into wins could be a significant disadvantage against a team like Bohemians, who are riding a wave of victories. The model indicates a win probability of 65% for Bohemians, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a caveat exists; if St Joseph S Fc can harness home advantage and disrupt Bohemians' rhythm, they could pose a challenge. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis comes from an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.5% probability.
Bohemians have been the stronger side, winning 67% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Bohemians are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
St Joseph S Fc vs Bohemians| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 5.00 | 4.10 | 1.53 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.70 | 1.95 | |
| 5.15 | 3.84 | 1.60 | 1.65 | 2.00 | 1.71 | 1.99 | |
| 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.65 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 4.56 | 3.77 | 1.61 | 1.69 | 2.07 | — | — | |
| 4.69 | 3.74 | 1.46 | — | — | — | — | |
| 4.80 | 3.70 | 1.62 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 4.20 | 3.50 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 5.10 | 3.80 | 1.63 | 1.66 | 1.99 | 1.72 | 2.01 | |
| 4.70 | 3.70 | 1.68 | 1.72 | 1.98 | 1.70 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 4.65 | 3.80 | 1.65 | 1.67 | 2.12 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
Superbet | 4.70 | 3.80 | 1.64 | 1.66 | 2.10 | 1.66 | 2.10 |
BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.62 | 1.67 | 2.03 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Bohemians leads 1-0)In the head-to-head record between St Joseph S Fc and Bohemians, Bohemians lead with 1 win and St Joseph S Fc has yet to secure a victory, resulting in no draws. The sole match took place on July 9, 2026, where Bohemians won decisively with a score of 2-0. This outcome indicates a one-sided affair, as St Joseph S Fc has not managed to score against Bohemians in their only meeting. As such, there is a clear advantage for Bohemians in this matchup.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonSt Joseph S Fc have won 2 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with St Joseph S Fc 3-3 and beat St Joseph S Fc 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 2D 5L from the last 11 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Bohemians have won 5 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Bohemians 0-0 and beat Drogheda United 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 1D 3L from the last 12 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSt Joseph S Fc
No reported absences
Bohemians
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
K. Ratnieks has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by K. Ratnieks to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
St Joseph S Fc average 2.1 goals per match at home; Bohemians 2.0 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Bohemians have generated 1.83 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 67% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bohemians player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
