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Apollon Limassol vs Dila Prediction, Tips & Odds

Apollon Limassol vs Dila

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
Apollon Limassol
WWWDW
3 - 0
Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Referee: K. Zabroda
Dila
LLDLW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.63 (implied 61.4%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 63.9% probability (an expert ratio of 1.56). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (63.9% vs 61.4%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Apollon Limassol to win against Dila, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Apollon Limassol has shown resilience in their season form, managing two wins and a draw in their last five matches. Their recent performances suggest a capacity to perform under pressure, with two wins in their last three outings indicating a potential upswing. On the other hand, Dila has also recorded two wins in their last five matches, but their form includes a loss and a draw, which might indicate inconsistency. The disparity in their recent performances suggests that while Dila can compete, they may struggle to maintain momentum against a team like Apollon Limassol that is finding its rhythm. The model output indicates a win probability in favour of Apollon Limassol, although specific percentages are not provided. One key market insight is that Apollon Limassol is expected to dominate possession, which could lead to goal-scoring opportunities. However, a caveat to consider is that if Dila manages to capitalize on counterattacks, they could pose a threat. The full method used to reach this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, based on an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Apollon Limassol Win68%1.33
Draw18%4.83
Dila Win14%7.74
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.7452.6%

Apollon Limassol have kept a clean sheet in 62% of matches. Dila average 1.0 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6352.7%

Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Apollon Limassol 2-0 Dila
6.0016.8%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.8% probability.

Asian Handicap
Apollon Limassol -1.5
1.9148%

Apollon Limassol have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-0
6.00
16.8%
1-0
6.42
15.7%
2-1
7.81
13.0%
3-0
7.86
12.8%
1-1
8.64
11.7%
3-1
10.16
10.0%

Our model projects a 2-0 Apollon Limassol win as the most likely scoreline at 16.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Apollon Limassol clean sheets, in line with their 62% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Apollon Limassol
-0.0
1.09
Dila
+0.0
5.83
Apollon Limassol
-0.5
1.32
Dila
+0.5
6.80
Apollon Limassol
-1.5
1.91
Dila
+1.5
13.00

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Apollon Limassol are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Apollon Limassol vs Dila
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.324.857.901.652.151.931.73
Marathonbet
1.345.057.401.632.212.011.70
Betfair
1.294.758.001.602.202.051.73
Pinnacle
1.315.037.811.622.23
SBO
1.304.347.051.622.19
William Hill
1.364.607.501.951.75
Bet365
1.304.758.001.652.202.001.73
1xBet
1.355.057.411.632.212.011.72
Unibet
1.354.907.501.582.171.851.82
Betano
1.364.807.901.672.181.951.75
Superbet
1.334.907.401.632.151.971.74
BetVictor
1.305.009.001.632.101.951.75

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
78.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
52.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
36.5%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XApollon Limassol or Draw
86%1.06
12Apollon Limassol or Dila
82%1.13
X2Draw or Dila
32%3.04

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Apollon Limassol leads 1-0)
1 Apollon Limassol0 Draw0 Dila
23 Jul
Dila
0-2
Apollon Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League

Apollon Limassol leads the head-to-head record against Dila with 1 win and no draws or losses. The only match played between these teams ended with a score of 2-0 in favor of Apollon Limassol, indicating a decisive victory. This result suggests that Apollon Limassol has had a comfortable edge in their encounter, with Dila yet to score against them. Given the sample size of just one match, it is difficult to draw broader conclusions, but the current record reflects a clear advantage for Apollon Limassol.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Apollon LimassolDila
1.62Goals p.g.1
0.85Goals conceded p.g.1.55
62%Clean sheets27%
62%Win rate18%
2.46Avg goals in match2.55
Apollon Limassol
Recent Form

Apollon Limassol have won 4 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Apollon Limassol 3-0 and drew with Apollon Limassol 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 2D 3L from the last 13 games (62% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Apollon LimassolAll competitions
05 Aug
Brann
0-1
Apollon Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League
28 Jul
Apollon Limassol
3-0
Dila
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Jul
Dila
0-4
Apollon Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0-0
AEK Larnaca
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
GO Ahead Eagles
0-3
Apollon Limassol
Friendlies Clubs
07 Jul
Utrecht
0-1
Apollon Limassol
Friendlies Clubs
8
Win
62%
2
Draw
15%
3
Lost
23%
Dila
Recent Form

Dila have won 0 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Virtus 1-0 and drew with Dinamo Tbilisi 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 2W 2D 7L from the last 11 games (18% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: DilaAll competitions
23 Jul
Dila
0-4
Apollon Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
Virtus
1-0
Dila
UEFA Europa Conference League
01 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi
0-0
Dila
Super Cup
27 Jun
Dila
0-1
Torpedo Kutaisi
Super Cup
22 Jun
Dila
3-0
Rustavi
Erovnuli Liga
16 Jun
Dila
3-1
Spaeri
Erovnuli Liga
2
Win
18%
2
Draw
18%
7
Lost
64%

Lineups

Confirmed

Apollon Limassol4-3-3Confirmed

37Leonidas KonomisDEF
76Bruno GasparDEF
14Giorgos MalekkidisDEF
44Josef KvidaDEF
9Alen OžboltFWD
30Dani EscricheFWD
41Peter LeeuwenburghGK
23Brandon ThomasMID
77Ivan LjubićMID
27Gaetan WeissbeckMID
5Morgan BrownMID
4Emanuel AiwuDEF
38Konstantinos BalogiannisDEF
19Nearchos ZinonosDEF
26Antreas ShikkisDEF
89Robertos RotisFWD
31Konstantinos StylianouGK
20Danilo ŠpoljarićMID
18Andreas AthanasiouMID
17Clinton DuoduMID
11Evangelos AndreouMID
10Garry RodriguesMID

Dila3-5-2Confirmed

14Giorgi JalaghoniaDEF
25Lamar YarbroughDEF
2Tedo KikabidzeDEF
33Ramaric EtouDEF
9Mohamed KantéFWD
1Davit KereselidzeGK
17Blankson AnoffMID
10Otar ParulavaMID
16Mamin SanyangMID
8Lasha MenteshashviliMID
15Georgii KobakhidzeMID
5Maik PoeketieDEF
13Joao Victor de Araujo CostaDEF
22Shota ShekiladzeFWD
12Luka SanikidzeGK
27Alioune Oumar TallMID
19Badri GogoberishviliMID
7Franklin NyenetueMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Apollon Limassol

No reported absences

Dila

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Apollon Limassol Win1.33 (67.7%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.63 (52.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.18 (47.3%)
Both Teams Score1.97 (47.4%)
BTTS No1.74 (52.6%)
Speculative
Draw4.83 (18.2%)
Dila Win7.74 (14.1%)

Yellow Card Prediction

K. Zabroda has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by K. Zabroda to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Apollon Limassol average 1.6 goals per match at home; Dila 1.0 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Apollon Limassol have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 62% of their matches and averaging 1.6 goals per game. Apollon Limassol player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.