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CSKA 1948 vs Spartak Trnava Prediction, Tips & Odds

CSKA 1948 vs Spartak Trnava

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
CSKA 1948
DWDWD
0 - 0
National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Referee: W. Altmann
Spartak Trnava
DWLDD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.79
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.75 (implied 57.0%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 59.5% probability (an expert ratio of 1.68). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (59.5% vs 57.0%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours CSKA 1948 to win against Spartak Trnava, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. CSKA 1948 has shown solid form recently, with three wins and one draw in their last five matches. This performance indicates a degree of consistency that could be pivotal in this knockout tie. On the other hand, Spartak Trnava has struggled to find their rhythm, managing only one win in their last five games, alongside three draws and one loss. Their recent form suggests difficulties in securing victories, which could be a significant disadvantage in a competitive fixture. The model output suggests a higher win probability for CSKA 1948, with a projected score of 2-1. However, it is essential to consider that matches can be unpredictable, and Spartak Trnava might find ways to disrupt CSKA's rhythm. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
CSKA 1948 Win51%1.87
Draw24%3.31
Spartak Trnava Win26%3.94
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.8750.9%

CSKA 1948 have kept a clean sheet in 40% of matches. Spartak Trnava average 1.3 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.7555.5%

CSKA 1948 manage games at home, conceding just 0.80 goals per match. Spartak Trnava score 1.31 on the road.

Correct Score
CSKA 1948 1-1 Spartak Trnava
5.9616.9%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.9% probability.

Asian Handicap
CSKA 1948 -0.5
1.8845%

CSKA 1948 have been the stronger side, winning 40% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.96
16.9%
1-0
6.02
16.7%
2-1
7.60
13.3%
2-0
7.88
12.8%
0-0
8.45
11.9%
0-1
9.74
10.3%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature CSKA 1948 clean sheets, in line with their 40% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
CSKA 1948
-0.0
1.37
Spartak Trnava
+0.0
2.92
CSKA 1948
-0.3
1.65
Spartak Trnava
+0.3
2.80
CSKA 1948
-0.5
1.88
Spartak Trnava
+0.5
3.75
CSKA 1948
-1.5
3.25
Spartak Trnava
+1.5
10.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. CSKA 1948 are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

CSKA 1948 vs Spartak Trnava
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.883.353.852.001.771.801.85
Marathonbet
1.913.343.902.011.761.821.86
Betfair
1.753.304.201.951.751.831.91
Pinnacle
1.873.354.082.051.79
SBO
1.853.063.542.021.76
William Hill
1.913.203.901.801.91
Bet365
1.803.304.102.081.731.911.80
1xBet
1.933.343.902.011.761.821.88
Unibet
1.893.353.901.951.731.801.87
Betano
1.913.403.952.021.781.831.87
Superbet
1.903.303.901.971.741.831.87
BetVictor
1.853.404.101.961.721.831.85

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
89.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
70.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
44.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
26.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XCSKA 1948 or Draw
74%1.20
12CSKA 1948 or Spartak Trnava
76%1.26
X2Draw or Spartak Trnava
50%1.84

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Spartak Trnava leads 1-0)
0 CSKA 19480 Draw1 Spartak Trnava
22 Jan
CSKA 1948
0-1
Spartak Trnava
Friendlies Clubs

In the head-to-head record between CSKA 1948 and Spartak Trnava, Spartak Trnava leads with 1 win and CSKA 1948 has 0 wins, with no draws recorded. The sole match played ended with Spartak Trnava winning 1-0, indicating a narrow victory. This suggests a competitive encounter, but the lack of multiple fixtures limits the ability to draw broader conclusions. CSKA 1948 has not yet managed to secure a win against Spartak Trnava in their only meeting.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
CSKA 1948Spartak Trnava
1.33Goals p.g.1.31
0.8Goals conceded p.g.1.23
40%Clean sheets31%
40%Win rate38%
2.13Avg goals in match2.54
49%Possession %51%
1.0Shots on target / game3.0
6.0Corners per game7.0
CSKA 1948
Recent Form

CSKA 1948 have won 5 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat CSKA 1948 2-1 and drew with CSKA 1948 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 7D 2L from the last 15 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: CSKA 1948All competitions
05 Aug
Panathinaikos
1-1
CSKA 1948
UEFA Europa Conference League
31 Jul
CSKA 1948
2-1
Arda Kardzhali
First League
28 Jul
CSKA 1948
0-0
Spartak Trnava
UEFA Europa Conference League
25 Jul
CSKA 1948
2-1
Botev Vratsa
First League
22 Jul
Spartak Trnava
0-0
CSKA 1948
UEFA Europa Conference League
17 Jul
Spartak Varna
2-2
CSKA 1948
First League
6
Win
40%
7
Draw
47%
2
Lost
13%
Spartak Trnava
Recent Form

Spartak Trnava have won 1 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Slovácko 1-1 and drew with Plzen 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 4D 4L from the last 13 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Spartak TrnavaAll competitions
22 Jul
Spartak Trnava
0-0
CSKA 1948
UEFA Europa Conference League
14 Jul
Spartak Trnava
3-2
Beşiktaş
Friendlies Clubs
10 Jul
Spartak Trnava
1-3
Hanácká
Friendlies Clubs
10 Jul
Spartak Trnava
2-2
Šamorín
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
Slovácko
1-1
Spartak Trnava
Friendlies Clubs
01 Jul
Plzen
1-1
Spartak Trnava
Friendlies Clubs
5
Win
38%
4
Draw
31%
4
Lost
31%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

CSKA 1948

No reported absences

Spartak Trnava

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.75 (55.5%)
Value Bets
CSKA 1948 Win1.87 (50.5%)
Spartak Trnava Win3.94 (25.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.00 (44.5%)
Both Teams Score1.83 (49.1%)
BTTS No1.87 (50.9%)
Speculative
Draw3.31 (23.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

W. Altmann has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

CSKA 1948 have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Spartak Trnava 7.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

CSKA 1948 have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 40% of their matches and averaging 1.3 goals per game. They put 1.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. CSKA 1948 player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.