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FC Copenhagen vs Polessya Prediction, Tips & Odds

FC Copenhagen vs Polessya

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
FC Copenhagen
WWWWD
2 - 1
Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Referee: M. Radina
Polessya
LLWDW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.58 (implied 63.5%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 66.0% probability (an expert ratio of 1.52). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (66.0% vs 63.5%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours FC Copenhagen to win against Polessya, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. FC Copenhagen is in strong form, having secured four wins and one draw in their last five matches. This consistent performance highlights their ability to control games and find the back of the net, which will be crucial in this knockout encounter. On the other hand, Polessya has faced challenges recently, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This mixed form suggests they may struggle to compete at the same level as their opponents. Their recent results indicate difficulties in maintaining defensive solidity, which could be exploited by FC Copenhagen's attacking prowess. The model output suggests a high win probability for FC Copenhagen, reflecting their recent form and overall strength. However, a potential caveat is that if Polessya can frustrate their opponents early on or find an unexpected goal, it could shift the dynamics of the match. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
FC Copenhagen Win57%1.61
Draw20%3.99
Polessya Win23%4.70
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6163.6%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5865.1%

Combined goal output is high (5.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
FC Copenhagen 2-1 Polessya
7.2414.0%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.0% probability.

Asian Handicap
FC Copenhagen -1.5
2.7537%

FC Copenhagen have been the stronger side, winning 58% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-1
7.24
14.0%
1-1
7.34
13.8%
1-0
7.84
12.9%
2-0
8.19
12.4%
3-1
10.58
9.6%
3-0
11.65
8.7%

Our model projects a 2-1 FC Copenhagen win as the most likely scoreline at 14.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature FC Copenhagen clean sheets, in line with their 16% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
FC Copenhagen
-0.0
1.24
Polessya
+0.0
3.57
FC Copenhagen
-0.5
1.61
Polessya
+0.5
4.25
FC Copenhagen
-1.5
2.75
Polessya
+1.5
10.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. FC Copenhagen are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

FC Copenhagen vs Polessya
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.584.004.851.622.201.622.10
Marathonbet
1.624.054.701.572.331.582.20
Betfair
1.603.904.601.572.251.572.30
Pinnacle
1.604.104.731.562.37
SBO
1.553.684.37
William Hill
1.623.904.801.622.15
Bet365
1.653.804.331.572.351.672.10
1xBet
1.644.054.661.572.331.582.23
Unibet
1.554.105.201.572.201.652.07
Betano
1.604.104.901.602.301.622.15
Superbet
1.644.104.551.572.251.622.15
BetVictor
1.624.104.751.562.231.572.25

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
79.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
65.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
38.5%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XFC Copenhagen or Draw
77%1.15
12FC Copenhagen or Polessya
80%1.20
X2Draw or Polessya
43%2.20

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 FC Copenhagen1 Draw0 Polessya
23 Jul
Polessya
3-3
FC Copenhagen
UEFA Europa Conference League

The head-to-head record between FC Copenhagen and Polessya stands at one draw, with no wins for either side. Their only encounter ended in a 3-3 draw, suggesting a competitive matchup with both teams capable of scoring. This high-scoring result indicates that when they meet, the games can be open and entertaining. There have been no recent victories for either team in this matchup, which may suggest a balanced rivalry, though the single fixture does not provide a comprehensive view of their historical performance against each other.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
FC CopenhagenPolessya
2.39Goals p.g.2.58
1.52Goals conceded p.g.1.25
16%Clean sheets42%
58%Win rate50%
3.9Avg goals in match3.83
2.11xG per game
-0.15xGA per game
54%Possession %
6.7Shots on target / game
5.3Corners per game
FC Copenhagen
Recent Form

FC Copenhagen have won 11 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat FC Copenhagen 2-1 and beat FC Copenhagen 3-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 18W 5D 8L from the last 31 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC CopenhagenAll competitions
06 Aug
Debreceni VSC
0-3
FC Copenhagen
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Aug
Silkeborg
1-3
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
29 Jul
FC Copenhagen
2-1
Polessya
UEFA Europa Conference League
26 Jul
FC Copenhagen
3-2
Lyngby
Superliga
23 Jul
Polessya
3-3
FC Copenhagen
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
FC Copenhagen
2-1
Viborg
Friendlies Clubs
18
Win
58%
5
Draw
16%
8
Lost
26%
Polessya
Recent Form

Polessya have won 3 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Polessya 2-0 and beat WSG Wattens 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 2D 4L from the last 12 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: PolessyaAll competitions
14 Jul
Plzen
2-0
Polessya
Friendlies Clubs
14 Jul
Polessya
1-3
Shimizu S-pulse
Friendlies Clubs
10 Jul
WSG Wattens
1-2
Polessya
Friendlies Clubs
09 Jul
Polessya
0-0
Jagiellonia
Friendlies Clubs
02 Jul
Wörgl
0-11
Polessya
Friendlies Clubs
02 Jul
Polessya
4-1
Sabah FA
Friendlies Clubs
6
Win
50%
2
Draw
17%
4
Lost
33%

Lineups

Confirmed

FC Copenhagen4-2-3-1Confirmed

15Marcos LópezDEF
2Felix BeijmoDEF
33Alex KrálDEF
20Junnosuke SuzukiDEF
14Andreas CorneliusFWD
1Dominik KotarskiGK
10Mohamed ElyounoussiMID
21Mads Emil MadsenMID
27Thomas DelaneyMID
36William ClemMID
16RobertMID
24Birger MelingDEF
18Kenay MyrieDEF
4Munashe GaranangaDEF
37Mustapha NyassiDEF
40Henrik HaraldsenDEF
45Gunnar Orri OlsenFWD
11Jordan LarssonFWD
9Youssoufa MoukokoFWD
44Geovanni VianneyFWD
51Tobias Breum-HarildGK
31Rúnar Alex RúnarssonGK
34Marvin NasnasMID

Polessya4-3-3Confirmed

55Borys KrushynskyiDEF
44Sergiy ChobotenkoDEF
15Bogdan MykhaylichenkoDEF
5Eduard SarapiiDEF
7Oleksandr NazarenkoFWD
95Igor KrasnopirFWD
11Leandro AndradeFWD
77Georgiy BushchanGK
18Oleksandr AndriyevskiyMID
8Ruslan BabenkoMID
27Oleg FedorMID
6Borel TomandzotoDEF
94Denys HryshkevychDEF
31Giorgi MaisuradzeDEF
4Mykyta KravchenkoDEF
9Oleksandr FilippovFWD
89Mykola HaiduchykFWD
1Oleg KudrykGK
12Artur DrobotGK
10Vladyslav VeletenMID
14Lindon EmërllahuMID
19Volodymyr ShepelevMID
45Maksym BragaruMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

FC Copenhagen

No reported absences

Polessya

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
FC Copenhagen Win1.61 (56.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.58 (65.1%)
Both Teams Score1.61 (63.6%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.28 (34.9%)
BTTS No2.17 (36.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.99 (20%)
Polessya Win4.70 (23.3%)

Yellow Card Prediction

M. Radina has averaged 1.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

FC Copenhagen average 2.4 goals per match at home; Polessya 2.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

FC Copenhagen have generated 2.11 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 58% of them. They put 6.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Copenhagen player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.