Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers Prediction, Tips & Odds
Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers
Match Preview
The model favours Stade Brestois 29 to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 11th in Ligue 1, Brest has had a mixed start to the season, recording one win, two draws, and two losses from five matches. They have scored seven goals while conceding eight, which gives them a goal difference of -1. Their recent form reflects this inconsistency, with just one win in their last five matches. On the other side, Angers sits higher in the standings at 7th place, having garnered seven points from their five games with two wins, one draw, and two losses. They have managed six goals and conceded five, resulting in a positive goal difference of 1. Angers has shown some resilience, but their performance has also been uneven, as indicated by their recent results. The model assigns a win probability of 48.6% for Brest, 26.4% for a draw, and 25.1% for an Angers victory. Additionally, there is a 52.2% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 55.2% probability for both teams to score. While Brest's home advantage could play a crucial role, their defensive vulnerabilities might leave them exposed. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team through an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.0% probability.
Stade Brestois 29 have been the stronger side, winning 20% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Stade Brestois 29 are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.98 | 3.75 | 3.68 | 1.77 | 2.07 | 1.64 | 2.12 | |
| 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 2.01 | 3.75 | 3.70 | 1.76 | 2.14 | — | — | |
| 1.96 | 3.28 | 3.20 | 1.72 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.50 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.15 | |
| 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.04 | 3.85 | 3.78 | 1.83 | 2.14 | 1.64 | 2.15 | |
Betano | 1.95 | 3.55 | 3.95 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Stade Brestois 29 leads 7-2)In the last 10 matches between Stade Brestois 29 and Angers, Stade Brestois 29 has won 7 times, with 1 draw and 2 victories for Angers. The scorelines indicate a generally one-sided contest, highlighted by several heavy wins for Stade Brestois 29, including a 4-0 victory in January 2023. Angers' wins were limited to a 2-0 result in January 2025 and a narrow 1-0 win in March 2022. The overall trend suggests Stade Brestois 29 has maintained a strong advantage, with Angers last winning against them nearly two years ago.
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | LWWWD |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 7 | Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | WDLWL |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | LLWDD |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonStade Brestois 29 have won 4 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Monza 2-2 and lost to Paris Saint Germain 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 12D 12L from the last 30 games (20% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Angers have won 2 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Le Havre 0-0 and beat Auxerre 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 12L from the last 28 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersStade Brestois 29
No reported absences
Angers
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Stade Brestois 29 average 1.3 goals per match at home; Angers 1.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Stade Brestois 29 have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 20% of their matches and averaging 1.3 goals per game. Stade Brestois 29 player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
