Stjarnan vs Vikingur Gota Prediction, Tips & Odds
Stjarnan vs Vikingur Gota
Match Preview
The model favours Vikingur Gota to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Stjarnan. Vikingur Gota has shown strong form this season, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches, with three wins and two draws. This consistency suggests a well-coordinated team that can handle pressure situations effectively. In contrast, Stjarnan's recent form has been less impressive, with only one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. This struggle to convert opportunities into results could hinder their chances against a more resilient opponent like Vikingur Gota. Stjarnan will need to find a way to improve their performance if they hope to compete effectively. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Vikingur Gota. While the data points to a likely victory for them, it is important to note that Stjarnan could capitalize on any defensive lapses, potentially making the match closer than expected. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.9% probability.
Stjarnan have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Stjarnan win as the most likely scoreline at 12.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Stjarnan are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Stjarnan vs Vikingur Gota| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.70 | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.38 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.62 | |
| 1.67 | 4.45 | 3.94 | 1.28 | 3.08 | 1.34 | 2.93 | |
| 1.67 | 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.30 | 3.20 | 1.33 | 3.00 | |
| 1.68 | 4.30 | 3.56 | 1.36 | 2.88 | — | — | |
| 1.69 | 3.77 | 3.41 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.80 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.80 | |
| 1.65 | 4.50 | 3.40 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 1.69 | 4.45 | 3.92 | 1.28 | 3.08 | 1.34 | 2.99 | |
| 1.72 | 4.10 | 3.95 | 1.41 | 2.65 | 1.44 | 2.55 | |
| 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.33 | 3.10 | 1.40 | 2.80 | |
Betano | 1.72 | 4.40 | 3.70 | 1.35 | 2.92 | 1.40 | 2.72 |
Superbet | 1.74 | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.33 | 3.05 | 1.38 | 2.82 |
BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.33 | 4.00 | 1.30 | 3.25 | 1.33 | 3.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Stjarnan leads 1-0)In their only previous encounter, Stjarnan won against Vikingur Gota with a score of 3-1. This result indicates a clear victory for Stjarnan, showcasing their attacking strength by scoring three goals while allowing one. The match did not end in a draw, highlighting Stjarnan's dominance in this fixture. Given that it is the only match played between these teams, it is too early to draw broader conclusions, but the scoreline suggests that Stjarnan has established an upper hand in this head-to-head matchup.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonStjarnan have won 3 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Stjarnan 3-1 and beat Stjarnan 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 4D 5L from the last 13 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Vikingur Gota have won 3 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Vikingur Gota 3-1 and beat B36 Torshavn 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 4D 2L from the last 11 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersStjarnan
No reported absences
Vikingur Gota
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
U. Aslam has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by U. Aslam to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Stjarnan average 1.8 goals per match at home; Vikingur Gota 2.0 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Stjarnan have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 31% of their matches and averaging 1.8 goals per game. Stjarnan player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
