Suduva Marijampole vs Banga Prediction, Tips & Odds
Suduva Marijampole vs Banga
Match Preview
The model favours Suduva Marijampole to win this match against Banga, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in fourth place, Suduva has had a solid season with 16 points from 10 matches, achieving four wins, four draws, and only two losses. Their defensive record stands out, having conceded just six goals, which is the best in the league. This strong defensive performance could be crucial in a matchup against Banga. On the other hand, Banga is positioned sixth with 14 points from the same number of matches. They have had an inconsistent season, with four wins, two draws, and four losses. While their goal-scoring has been decent, netting 12 goals, their defensive record is less impressive, conceding seven goals. This inconsistency may hinder their chances against a more stable Suduva side. The model suggests a win probability of 55% for Suduva, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage to watch is the odds on Suduva winning by a one-goal margin. However, the caveat here is Suduva's recent form, which includes only one win in their last five matches, potentially indicating a dip in momentum. The full methodology of our prediction is explained in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from the SureTipsPro Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that interprets fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Suduva Marijampole manage games at home, conceding just 1.23 goals per match. Banga score 1.59 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.8% probability.
Suduva Marijampole have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Suduva Marijampole clean sheets, in line with their 32% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Suduva Marijampole are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Suduva Marijampole vs Banga| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.35 | 1.55 | 1.95 | 1.70 | |
| 2.11 | 2.93 | 3.36 | 2.31 | 1.53 | 1.96 | 1.70 | |
| 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 2.16 | 3.02 | 3.53 | 2.39 | 1.53 | — | — | |
| 2.06 | 2.91 | 3.09 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.10 | 2.90 | 3.40 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.35 | 1.57 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 2.13 | 2.93 | 3.44 | 2.31 | 1.53 | 1.96 | 1.73 | |
| 2.12 | 2.95 | 3.05 | 2.12 | 1.60 | 1.87 | 1.81 | |
Betano | 2.10 | 2.92 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 1.50 | — | — |
Superbet | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.32 | 1.51 | 2.02 | 1.71 |
BetVictor | 2.00 | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.44 | 1.78 | 1.57 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
A Lyga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 5 | 23 | 25 | WLWWD |
| 2 |  TransINVEST Vilnius | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 3 |  Džiugas Telšiai | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 | LLWWD |
| 4 | Suduva Marijampole | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 | WWLWD |
| 5 |  FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 15 | WDDLD |
| 6 | Banga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 14 | WDWDL |
| 8 |  Hegelmann Litauen | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 | LDLWD |
| 9 |  Šiauliai | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  FK Trakai | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 24 | -21 | 3 | LDDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSuduva Marijampole have won 8 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Kauno Žalgiris 2-1 and drew with FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 9D 5L from the last 22 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Banga have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Banga 1-0 and drew with Banga 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 7D 7L from the last 22 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSuduva Marijampole
No reported absences
Banga
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Suduva Marijampole average 1.5 goals per match at home; Banga 1.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Suduva Marijampole have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 36% of their matches and averaging 1.5 goals per game. Suduva Marijampole player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.