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Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction, Tips & Odds

Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 11
Talleres Cordoba
#4 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LLWDD
0 - 1
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba (57,503)
Referee: Facundo Tello
Belgrano Cordoba
#5 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WWDDD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 (implied 65.0%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 67.5% probability (an expert ratio of 1.48). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (67.5% vs 65.0%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Talleres Cordoba to win with a projected scoreline of 1-0. Currently positioned in 4th place, Talleres has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses this season, gathering a total of 26 points. Their goal difference of +4 indicates a balanced attack and defense, with 17 goals scored and 13 conceded. However, their recent form shows a dip in performance, with only one win in the last five matches. Belgrano Cordoba sits just behind Talleres in 5th place, also with 26 points from the same number of matches. They share identical records of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, and their goal statistics mirror Talleres with 17 goals scored and 13 against. Yet, Belgrano's form has been concerning, as they have failed to secure a win in their last five matches, recording three draws and two losses. The model gives Talleres Cordoba a win probability of 33.6%, with a close chance of a draw at 32.9% and Belgrano's win probability slightly lower at 33.5%. One key market to consider is the likelihood of over 2.5 goals, which stands at 28.6%. A potential caveat for Talleres is their recent struggle to convert chances, which could impact their scoring. For a detailed explanation of the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises an in-house model assessing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Talleres Cordoba Win37%2.68
Draw26%2.98
Belgrano Cordoba Win37%2.78
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.7356.0%

Talleres Cordoba have kept a clean sheet in 31% of matches. Belgrano Cordoba average 1.2 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.5463.2%

Talleres Cordoba manage games at home, conceding just 1.17 goals per match. Belgrano Cordoba score 1.17 on the road.

Correct Score
Talleres Cordoba 1-1 Belgrano Cordoba
5.6017.9%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.9% probability.

Asian Handicap
Belgrano Cordoba -0.0
1.9331%

Belgrano Cordoba have been the stronger side, winning 46% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.60
17.9%
1-0
6.60
15.2%
0-0
6.76
14.9%
0-1
6.80
14.7%
2-1
10.29
9.7%
1-2
10.45
9.6%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Talleres Cordoba
-0.0
1.86
Belgrano Cordoba
+0.0
1.93
Talleres Cordoba
-0.3
2.28
Belgrano Cordoba
+0.3
2.40
Talleres Cordoba
-1.5
6.00
Belgrano Cordoba
+1.5
6.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Belgrano Cordoba are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
2.652.952.792.421.522.011.70
Betfair
2.633.002.752.401.502.001.73
Pinnacle
2.813.002.912.561.55——
SBO
2.562.842.58————
William Hill
2.622.882.75——2.001.73
Bet365
2.753.002.802.401.532.001.75
1xBet
2.713.012.852.461.552.011.72
Betano
2.703.052.822.421.601.951.78
BetVictor
2.703.102.752.321.522.001.70

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
86.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
36.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
19.9%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XTalleres Cordoba or Draw
63%1.41
12Talleres Cordoba or Belgrano Cordoba
74%1.35
X2Draw or Belgrano Cordoba
64%1.43

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Talleres Cordoba leads 2-1)
2 Talleres Cordoba7 Draw1 Belgrano Cordoba
09 May
Talleres Cordoba
0-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
15 Mar
Belgrano Cordoba
0-0
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 25
Talleres Cordoba
0-0
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Mar 25
Belgrano Cordoba
1-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 24
Talleres Cordoba
0-0
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 24
Belgrano Cordoba
2-2
Talleres Cordoba
Copa de la Liga Profesional
Oct 23
Talleres Cordoba
0-0
Belgrano Cordoba
Copa de la Liga Profesional
May 23
Belgrano Cordoba
1-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
Jan 23
Talleres Cordoba
3-0
Belgrano Cordoba
Friendlies Clubs
Jan 23
Belgrano Cordoba
0-3
Talleres Cordoba
Friendlies Clubs

In the last 10 matches between Talleres Cordoba and Belgrano Cordoba, Talleres has won 2 times, Belgrano has won once, and there have been 7 draws. The scorelines indicate a pattern of tight contests, with many matches ending without a winner, including five goalless draws. Belgrano's last win came in May 2026, suggesting a challenging period for them in this rivalry. The overall record shows a competitive dynamic, but Talleres has had the edge in terms of victories in the most recent matches, particularly in friendly encounters.

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Independ. Rivadavia
16104229151434
DWWLW
1
Estudiantes L.P.
169431971231
LWLDL
2
Boca Juniors
168622291330
WWWDW
2
River Plate
1692522121029
LWWWD
3
Velez Sarsfield
167721812628
WDWDD
3
Argentinos JRS
168531713429
LDDWD
4
Talleres Cordoba
167541713426
LLWLD
5
Belgrano Cordoba
167541713426
WWDDD
14
Newells Old Boys
163671527-1215
DWDDD
15
Deportivo Riestra
16187512-711
DLDDD
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
161213524-195
LLLDD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Talleres CordobaHome
4W1D2L
7 playedGF 9 · GA 51.86 pts/game
Belgrano CordobaAway
3W3D2L
8 playedGF 6 · GA 81.50 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Talleres CordobaBelgrano Cordoba
1.03Goals p.g.1.17
1.17Goals conceded p.g.0.74
31%Clean sheets49%
34%Win rate46%
2.21Avg goals in match1.91
1.58xG per game1.14
0.22xGA per game0.42
56%Possession %51%
5.2Shots on target / game4.5
4.9Corners per game4.7
Talleres Cordoba
Recent Form

Talleres Cordoba have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 and beat Union Santa Fe 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 7D 12L from the last 29 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Talleres CordobaAll competitions
04 Oct
Talleres Cordoba
0-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Sept
Instituto Cordoba
3-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
12 Sept
Talleres Cordoba
2-1
Union Santa Fe
Liga Profesional Argentina
30 Aug
Talleres Cordoba
0-0
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Aug
Talleres Cordoba
2-2
Rosario Central
Liga Profesional Argentina
18 Aug
Gimnasia M.
3-1
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
10
Win
34%
7
Draw
24%
12
Lost
41%
Belgrano Cordoba
Recent Form

Belgrano Cordoba have won 7 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Belgrano Cordoba 0-1 and drew with Sarmiento Junin 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 16W 12D 7L from the last 35 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Belgrano CordobaAll competitions
04 Oct
Talleres Cordoba
0-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Sept
Belgrano Cordoba
2-1
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Sept
Sarmiento Junin
1-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
04 Sept
Belgrano Cordoba
1-1
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
30 Aug
Atletico Tucuman
0-0
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
23 Aug
Belgrano Cordoba
1-2
Defensa Y Justicia
Liga Profesional Argentina
16
Win
46%
12
Draw
34%
7
Lost
20%

Lineups

Confirmed

Talleres Cordoba4-2-3-1Confirmed

23G. BáezDEF
20A. SchottDEF
4M. CatalánDEF
6R. RiquelmeDEF
7D. ValoyesFWD
32E. UnsainGK
5M. GalarzaMID
37RickMID
19F. CristaldoMID
11V. DepietriMID
15J. SforzaMID
25T. BaroniDEF
44S. FernándezDEF
2T. ChamorroDEF
13V. FascendiniDEF
36E. ChiavassaFWD
49V. DávilaFWD
1S. BarbiGK
31B. TreyMID
10G. BaroniMID
26M. CaceresMID
8F. FattoriMID
39L. F. OrtizMID

Belgrano Cordoba4-4-1-1Confirmed

14L. MoralesDEF
3A. SpörleDEF
17Lisandro LópezDEF
2A. MaldonadoDEF
9L. PasseriniFWD
23M. VicentiniGK
24E. RigoniMID
21A. SánchezMID
20F. VázquezMID
11F. GonzálezMID
10L. ZelarayánMID
26Alcides BenítezDEF
13Álvaro OcampoDEF
16F. RiccaDEF
37L. GutierrezFWD
53J. VelazquezFWD
30G. ZelarayánFWD
22N. FernándezFWD
60S. FerezGK
15R. TuliánMID
5S. LongoMID
8R. HernandesMID
19Santino GattiMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Talleres Cordoba

No reported absences

Belgrano Cordoba

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.54 (63.2%)
BTTS No1.73 (56%)
Value Bets
Talleres Cordoba Win2.68 (36.5%)
Draw2.98 (26.3%)
Belgrano Cordoba Win2.78 (37.2%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.43 (36.8%)
Both Teams Score2.00 (44%)

Yellow Card Prediction

Facundo Tello has averaged 6.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Talleres Cordoba have averaged 4.9 corners per match at home; Belgrano Cordoba 4.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Belgrano Cordoba have generated 1.14 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 46% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Belgrano Cordoba player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.