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UNA Strassen vs FK Partizan Prediction, Tips & Odds

UNA Strassen vs FK Partizan

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
UNA Strassen
LWWWD
0 - 1
Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg
Referee: B. McMaster
FK Partizan
LWWWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.69 (implied 59.3%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 61.8% probability (an expert ratio of 1.62). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (61.8% vs 59.3%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours UNA Strassen to win this match against FK Partizan, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. UNA Strassen has shown solid form recently, going unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. This consistent performance suggests they are in a good rhythm, which could be crucial as they face a competitive opponent. On the other hand, FK Partizan comes into this match with a mixed form, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. While they have shown the ability to win, their recent loss may have impacted their confidence. The ability to bounce back from setbacks will be essential for them in this away fixture. The model indicates a win probability that favours UNA Strassen, with a strong expectation for them to score at least two goals. One caveat is that if FK Partizan can find their scoring touch early in the match, it could disrupt UNA Strassen's momentum. For further details on how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
UNA Strassen Win33%4.04
Draw22%3.86
FK Partizan Win46%1.73
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6952.5%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.7150.2%

Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
UNA Strassen 1-1 FK Partizan
6.8314.7%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.

Asian Handicap
FK Partizan -0.0
1.3440%

FK Partizan have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.83
14.7%
0-1
7.16
14.0%
1-2
7.28
13.8%
0-2
7.89
12.8%
0-0
11.51
9.0%
1-3
11.48
8.9%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
UNA Strassen
-0.0
3.11
FK Partizan
+0.0
1.34
UNA Strassen
-0.5
4.00
FK Partizan
+0.5
1.66
UNA Strassen
-1.5
8.00
FK Partizan
+1.5
2.88

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. FK Partizan are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

UNA Strassen vs FK Partizan
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
4.203.951.671.732.051.672.00
Marathonbet
3.704.001.791.732.051.662.06
Betfair
4.003.751.701.602.201.652.10
Pinnacle
3.614.161.781.722.10
SBO
4.333.501.581.722.06
William Hill
3.903.901.731.732.05
Bet365
3.903.751.751.752.051.801.91
1xBet
4.104.191.791.762.111.672.08
Unibet
4.403.701.701.672.021.642.08
Betano
3.903.851.781.722.051.702.02
Superbet
4.253.851.731.702.021.702.02
BetVictor
4.203.751.751.701.991.652.10

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
76.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
50.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
33.7%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XUNA Strassen or Draw
54%2.02
12UNA Strassen or FK Partizan
79%1.21
X2Draw or FK Partizan
67%1.20

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (FK Partizan leads 1-0)
0 UNA Strassen0 Draw1 FK Partizan
23 Jul
FK Partizan
2-0
UNA Strassen
UEFA Europa Conference League

In the only historical fixture between UNA Strassen and FK Partizan, FK Partizan has won 1 match, with no draws or wins for UNA Strassen. The match ended with a scoreline of 2-0 in favor of FK Partizan, indicating a clear victory rather than a narrow contest. This result suggests that FK Partizan had a strong performance, while UNA Strassen has yet to secure a win against them in their past encounters.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
UNA StrassenFK Partizan
1.17Goals p.g.1.87
0.67Goals conceded p.g.1.13
67%Clean sheets33%
50%Win rate53%
1.83Avg goals in match3
xG per game2.55
Possession %62%
Shots on target / game5.3
Corners per game4.7
UNA Strassen
Recent Form

UNA Strassen have won 5 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat UNA Strassen 1-0 and beat UNA Strassen 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 4D 2L from the last 12 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: UNA StrassenAll competitions
23 Jul
FK Partizan
4-0
UNA Strassen
UEFA Europa Conference League
14 Jul
La Fiorita
0-2
UNA Strassen
UEFA Europa Conference League
07 Jul
UNA Strassen
1-0
La Fiorita
UEFA Europa Conference League
27 Jun
UNA Strassen
2-0
Victoria Rosport
Friendlies Clubs
19 Jun
FC Differdange 03
1-1
UNA Strassen
Friendlies Clubs
23 May
UNA Strassen
0-0
US Mondorf-les-bains
National Division
6
Win
50%
4
Draw
33%
2
Lost
17%
FK Partizan
Recent Form

FK Partizan have won 4 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat UNA Strassen 0-1 and beat Macva 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 4D 3L from the last 15 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FK PartizanAll competitions
02 Aug
FK Partizan
1-2
IMT Novi Beograd
Super Liga
30 Jul
UNA Strassen
0-1
FK Partizan
UEFA Europa Conference League
26 Jul
Macva
1-3
FK Partizan
Super Liga
23 Jul
FK Partizan
4-0
UNA Strassen
UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Jul
Zemun
2-2
FK Partizan
Super Liga
11 Jul
Nafta
1-4
FK Partizan
Friendlies Clubs
8
Win
53%
4
Draw
27%
3
Lost
20%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

UNA Strassen

No reported absences

FK Partizan

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
UNA Strassen Win4.04 (32.7%)
FK Partizan Win1.73 (45.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.71 (50.2%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.06 (49.8%)
Both Teams Score1.69 (52.5%)
BTTS No2.04 (47.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.86 (21.5%)

Yellow Card Prediction

B. McMaster has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by B. McMaster to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

UNA Strassen average 1.2 goals per match at home; FK Partizan 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

FK Partizan have generated 2.55 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FK Partizan player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.