Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem Prediction, Tips & Odds
Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem
Match Preview
The model favours Zulte Waregem to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Union St. Gilloise. Zulte Waregem enters this match with a strong recent form, having gone unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. This consistency suggests they have built a solid foundation heading into the new season, which could give them an edge over their opponents. On the other hand, Union St. Gilloise is looking to bounce back after a mixed recent spell, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. While this indicates potential, their lower league position at the start of the season could hinder their confidence and performance against a team in better form. Without any competitive match data for this season, it remains to be seen how they will adapt. The model suggests a win probability of approximately 60% for Zulte Waregem, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential concern for Zulte Waregem could be the pressure of expectations in a new season, which may impact their performance. The full methodology of our analysis is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results across the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team remains committed to delivering insights grounded in data.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.9% probability.
Union St. Gilloise have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Union St. Gilloise win as the most likely scoreline at 14.9% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Union St. Gilloise clean sheets, in line with their 44% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Union St. Gilloise are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.33 | 4.80 | 9.50 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.85 | 1.80 | |
| 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.35 | 1.63 | 2.23 | 1.76 | 1.93 | |
| 1.36 | 4.40 | 6.50 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 1.46 | 4.78 | 6.92 | 1.66 | 2.31 | — | — | |
| 1.43 | 4.21 | 5.90 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.00 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 1.45 | 4.20 | 6.50 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 1.48 | 4.66 | 6.40 | 1.65 | 2.26 | 1.76 | 1.96 | |
| 1.37 | 4.70 | 8.00 | 1.66 | 2.17 | 1.89 | 1.79 | |
| 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.00 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
Betano | 1.52 | 4.40 | 7.30 | 1.65 | 2.30 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.50 | 1.61 | 2.14 | 1.73 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Union St. Gilloise leads 8-0)Union St. Gilloise has an overwhelming head-to-head record against Zulte Waregem, winning all 8 of their last meetings without any draws. The scorelines indicate a dominant performance by Union St. Gilloise, with several matches featuring heavy defeats for Zulte Waregem, including a 4-0 loss and a 4-1 loss. The results have been consistently in favor of Union St. Gilloise, highlighting their ability to secure narrow victories as well, such as a 2-1 win. Zulte Waregem has not won against Union St. Gilloise in this sample, underscoring a significant imbalance in their encounters.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charleroi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Zulte Waregem | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | WDW |
| 3 |  Antwerp | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 | DWW |
| 4 |  Club Brugge KV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Gent | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Standard Liege | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 5 | WDD |
| 7 | Union St. Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | DW |
| 16 |  KVC Westerlo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 17 |  OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonUnion St. Gilloise have won 16 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Zulte Waregem 0-0 and drew with Bodo/Glimt 3-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 9D 4L from the last 34 games (62% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Zulte Waregem have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Zulte Waregem 0-0 and drew with Beerschot VA 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 4D 9L from the last 28 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersUnion St. Gilloise
No reported absences
Zulte Waregem
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Union St. Gilloise average 2.1 goals per match at home; Zulte Waregem 2.0 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Union St. Gilloise have generated 1.28 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 62% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Union St. Gilloise player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
