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Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction, Tips & Odds

Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 4
Urawa
#19 · J1 League
LLLDW
VS
Saitama Stadium, Saitama
Yokohama F. Marinos
#5 · J1 League
WWLWD

Match Preview

The model favours Yokohama F. Marinos to win against Urawa, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Urawa has had a challenging start to the season, currently sitting at the bottom of the league table in 19th place with two losses from their opening matches. They have conceded eight goals while scoring only four, resulting in a goal difference of -4. Their recent form reflects this struggle, with only one win and three losses in their last five matches. In contrast, Yokohama F. Marinos is positioned 8th in the standings after two matches, having secured three points from one win and one loss. They have managed to score four goals while conceding four, indicating a balanced start to their campaign. Their form has been more promising, with three wins, one draw, and only one loss in their last five matches, showcasing their ability to compete effectively. The model gives Yokohama F. Marinos a win probability of around 60%, reflecting their stronger start to the season and overall form. However, a caveat is that Urawa could turn their fortunes around at home, which might disrupt the expected outcome. For a detailed explanation of the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines the use of an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 4-4)
4 Urawa2 Draw4 Yokohama F. Marinos
25 Apr
Urawa
2-3
Yokohama F. Marinos
J1 League
21 Feb
Yokohama F. Marinos
0-2
Urawa
J1 League
Oct 25
Yokohama F. Marinos
4-0
Urawa
J1 League
Apr 25
Urawa
3-1
Yokohama F. Marinos
J1 League
Oct 24
Yokohama F. Marinos
0-0
Urawa
J1 League
May 24
Urawa
2-1
Yokohama F. Marinos
J1 League
Oct 23
Urawa
2-0
Yokohama F. Marinos
J-League Cup
Oct 23
Yokohama F. Marinos
1-0
Urawa
J-League Cup
Aug 23
Urawa
0-0
Yokohama F. Marinos
J1 League
Feb 23
Yokohama F. Marinos
2-0
Urawa
J1 League

Urawa and Yokohama F. Marinos have been evenly matched in this fixture, with 4 wins each and 2 draws across the last 10 meetings. The record offers no clear edge to either side, and the scorelines have stayed mostly tight rather than one-sided.

J1 League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Machida Zelvia
3300122109
WWW
2
Kashiwa Reysol
33009459
WWW
3
Kashima
33009639
WWW
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
32108267
DWW
5
Yokohama F. Marinos
32015416
WWL
6
Cerezo Osaka
320134-16
WLW
18
Kyoto Sanga
301247-31
LDL
19
Urawa
3003511-60
LLL
20
JEF United Chiba
300309-90
LLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
UrawaHome
0W0D1L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 40.00 pts/game
Yokohama F. MarinosAway
1W0D0L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 03.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2027 Season
UrawaYokohama F. Marinos
1.55Goals p.g.1.7
1.42Goals conceded p.g.1.33
32%Clean sheets27%
39%Win rate43%
2.97Avg goals in match3.03
1.21xG per game1.29
56%Possession %46%
4.0Shots on target / game3.7
4.2Corners per game3.2
Urawa
Recent Form

Urawa have won 7 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Urawa 1-4 and drew with Urawa 2-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 13L from the last 31 games (39% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: UrawaAll competitions
23 Aug
Machida Zelvia
3-1
Urawa
J1 League
15 Aug
Urawa
1-4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
J1 League
07 Aug
Gamba Osaka
4-3
Urawa
J1 League
01 Aug
Urawa
2-2
Omiya Ardija
Friendlies Clubs
21 Jul
Urawa
2-0
Fujieda MYFC
Friendlies Clubs
17 Jul
FC Ryukyu
5-4
Urawa
Friendlies Clubs
12
Win
39%
6
Draw
19%
13
Lost
42%
Yokohama F. Marinos
Recent Form

Yokohama F. Marinos have won 6 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Shimizu S-pulse 0-1 and drew with Shimizu S-pulse 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 4D 13L from the last 30 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Yokohama F. MarinosAll competitions
22 Aug
Yokohama F. Marinos
1-0
Vissel Kobe
J1 League
15 Aug
Shimizu S-pulse
0-1
Yokohama F. Marinos
J1 League
07 Aug
Yokohama F. Marinos
3-4
Kashima
J1 League
19 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
3-1
Roasso Kumamoto
Friendlies Clubs
15 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
1-1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Friendlies Clubs
06 Jun
Yokohama F. Marinos
3-0
Shimizu S-pulse
J1 League
13
Win
43%
4
Draw
13%
13
Lost
43%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Urawa

No reported absences

Yokohama F. Marinos

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.