West Brom vs Blackburn Prediction, Tips & Odds
West Brom vs Blackburn
Match Preview
The model favours West Brom for their upcoming match against Blackburn, predicting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 5th in the Championship, West Brom has shown solid form with four wins, two draws, and two losses from their eight matches this season. They have scored 10 goals while conceding 8, resulting in a positive goal difference of 2. Their recent form of two wins, two draws, and one loss indicates a competitive edge heading into this fixture. On the other hand, Blackburn sits in 16th place, having played the same number of matches but with a record of two wins, three draws, and three losses. Their goal tally stands at 12 scored and 12 conceded, leaving them with a goal difference of 0. Blackburn's recent form shows just one win in their last five matches, which could affect their confidence as they face a stronger opponent. The model gives West Brom a win probability of approximately 55%, reflecting their better league standing and form. However, a potential caveat is that Blackburn's goal-scoring ability could pose a threat if West Brom's defence falters. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines their in-house model, which evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
West Brom have kept a clean sheet in 37% of matches. Blackburn average 1.1 goals per game.
West Brom manage games at home, conceding just 0.97 goals per match. Blackburn score 1.14 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.5% probability.
West Brom have been the stronger side, winning 40% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature West Brom clean sheets, in line with their 37% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. West Brom are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
West Brom vs Blackburn| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.85 | 3.54 | 3.96 | 1.98 | 1.77 | 1.82 | 1.86 | |
| 1.91 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.90 | |
| 1.93 | 3.67 | 4.00 | 2.12 | 1.76 | — | — | |
| 1.89 | 3.06 | 3.41 | 1.99 | 1.83 | — | — | |
| 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.80 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.10 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 1.87 | 3.54 | 3.95 | 1.98 | 1.77 | 1.82 | 1.88 | |
Betano | 1.93 | 3.55 | 4.00 | 2.02 | 1.82 | 1.83 | 1.90 |
BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 1.96 | 1.72 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)The head-to-head record between West Brom and Blackburn stands at 3 wins for West Brom, 4 draws, and 3 wins for Blackburn over the last 10 matches. This indicates a balanced rivalry, with neither side dominating the other. The scorelines suggest a mix of tight contests, highlighted by four matches ending in draws and several low-scoring affairs, including three 0-0 results. Notably, both teams have experienced victories, but the most recent win for Blackburn was in August 2023, which adds a competitive edge to their encounters. Overall, the matches have been closely contested without a clear trend favoring one team.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 23 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 | WWDDW |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 19 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 | WWDWL |
| 5 |  QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 17 | WDDDD |
| 6 |  Wolves | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 17 | WLLWW |
| 7 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 10 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 | WWDWL |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 8 | LLLLW |
| 23 |  Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 6 | LDDLL |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 4 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWest Brom have won 5 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 8 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to West Brom 0-1 and drew with West Brom 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 12D 9L from the last 35 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Blackburn have won 7 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Blackburn 0-1 and drew with Portsmouth 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 11D 12L from the last 36 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
8 playersWest Brom2
Blackburn6
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Adam Herczeg has averaged 8.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
West Brom have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Blackburn 6.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
West Brom have generated 1.21 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 40% of them. They put 4.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. West Brom player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
