Wolves vs Blackburn Prediction, Tips & Odds
Wolves vs Blackburn
Match Preview
The model favours Blackburn to win against Wolves, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Blackburn starts the season in a strong position, having finished last season in the playoff spots. Their recent form shows two wins in their last five matches, indicating a competitive edge as they aim to build on their previous success. Key metrics will be their ability to convert chances, as they often create more opportunities than their opponents. Wolves, on the other hand, are looking to bounce back after a mixed end to last season, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Their current league position at 19th suggests they may struggle if they do not improve their consistency and overall performance. The pressure of starting the season with a home match could add to the challenge for Wolves, especially if they cannot find their rhythm early on. The model output indicates a win probability favouring Blackburn, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is Blackburn's potential to score early, which could shift the momentum in their favour. However, Wolves could surprise if they manage to harness home advantage effectively. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Wolves have kept a clean sheet in 28% of matches. Blackburn average 1.1 goals per game.
Wolves manage games at home, conceding just 1.40 goals per match. Blackburn score 1.07 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.8% probability.
Wolves have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Wolves win as the most likely scoreline at 16.8% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Wolves clean sheets, in line with their 28% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Wolves are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Wolves vs Blackburn| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.51 | 3.90 | 6.50 | 1.93 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 1.49 | 4.10 | 6.35 | 1.88 | 1.89 | 1.94 | 1.75 | |
| 1.50 | 4.00 | 6.50 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
| 1.54 | 4.25 | 6.52 | 1.93 | 1.95 | — | — | |
| 1.48 | 3.80 | 5.32 | 1.83 | 2.01 | — | — | |
| 1.53 | 3.90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 1.50 | 4.00 | 6.50 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 1.56 | 4.26 | 6.44 | 1.94 | 1.94 | 1.94 | 1.77 | |
| 1.52 | 4.10 | 5.80 | 1.78 | 1.98 | 1.85 | 1.86 | |
| 1.53 | 3.90 | 6.00 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
Betano | 1.57 | 4.25 | 6.60 | 1.95 | 1.88 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
Superbet | 1.55 | 4.25 | 5.80 | 1.80 | 2.02 | 1.87 | 1.87 |
BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.20 | 6.50 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Wolves leads 5-1)In the last 10 matches between Wolves and Blackburn, Wolves have won 5 times, there have been 4 draws, and Blackburn has won just once. The scorelines indicate a tendency towards tight contests, with 4 matches ending in draws and several low-scoring outcomes, including four 1-0 results in favor of Wolves. Blackburn's only victory came in 2012, highlighting a significant gap in recent success. Overall, Wolves have maintained a dominant edge in this fixture, with a more consistent ability to secure wins compared to Blackburn's sporadic successes.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Charlton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Wolves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | WD |
| 5 |  QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | DW |
| 6 | Blackburn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WD |
| 22 |  Lincoln | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 23 |  Norwich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 24 |  Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | -1 | WL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWolves have won 4 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Wolves 2-2 and beat Wolves 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 7D 10L from the last 25 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Blackburn have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Wolves 2-2 and beat Burton Albion 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 9D 9L from the last 28 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
10 playersWolves4
Blackburn6
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
F. Hallam has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by F. Hallam to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Wolves average 1.2 goals per match at home; Blackburn 1.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Wolves have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 32% of their matches and averaging 1.2 goals per game. Wolves player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
