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Zimbru vs FC Noah Prediction, Tips & Odds

Zimbru vs FC Noah

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
Zimbru
DLWDL
1 - 1
Stadionul Zimbru
Referee: K. Koppel
FC Noah
WWDDW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.85
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.80 (implied 55.7%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 58.2% probability (an expert ratio of 1.72). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (58.2% vs 55.7%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours FC Noah to win this match against Zimbru, with a projected scoreline of 1-0. FC Noah has shown a solid performance lately, with their last five matches yielding two wins, two draws, and one loss. This form indicates a resilient side that has been able to secure results under pressure, and their slight edge in overall consistency could play a crucial role in this fixture. Zimbru's recent form mirrors that of FC Noah, also recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. While they have demonstrated the ability to compete effectively, the lack of standout statistics in their overall performance may pose a challenge against a team like FC Noah that seems to be finding its rhythm at this stage of the season. According to the model, FC Noah has a win probability of around 55%, giving them a favorable position heading into this match. However, a caveat to consider is that Zimbru's home advantage could potentially disrupt FC Noah's plans. The full method of our analysis, which utilizes an in-house model assessing expected goals and actual results throughout the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Zimbru Win29%4.41
Draw22%3.58
FC Noah Win50%1.69
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.8055.3%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.8654.3%

Combined goal output is high (4.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Zimbru 0-1 FC Noah
6.4715.5%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.5% probability.

Asian Handicap
FC Noah -0.0
1.2744%

FC Noah have been the stronger side, winning 67% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-1
6.47
15.5%
1-1
6.55
15.4%
1-2
7.39
13.7%
0-2
7.48
13.5%
0-0
9.43
10.7%
1-0
11.42
8.8%

Our model projects a 0-1 FC Noah win as the most likely scoreline at 15.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Zimbru
-0.0
3.32
FC Noah
+0.0
1.27
Zimbru
-0.5
4.00
FC Noah
+0.5
1.70
Zimbru
-1.5
10.00
FC Noah
+1.5
3.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. FC Noah are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Zimbru vs FC Noah
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
4.553.651.681.801.931.731.93
Marathonbet
4.603.621.711.891.861.811.87
Betfair
4.603.601.651.851.851.831.91
Pinnacle
4.303.621.711.911.88
SBO
3.793.281.661.781.98
William Hill
4.403.401.671.751.95
Bet365
4.333.601.672.001.801.831.83
1xBet
4.583.621.731.891.861.811.90
Betano
4.453.701.721.901.851.851.85
Superbet
4.203.701.741.732.001.722.00
BetVictor
4.753.601.701.871.801.831.85

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
89.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
29.9%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XZimbru or Draw
50%2.01
12Zimbru or FC Noah
78%1.23
X2Draw or FC Noah
71%1.17

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Zimbru leads 1-0)
1 Zimbru0 Draw0 FC Noah
23 Jul
Zimbru
1-0
FC Noah
UEFA Europa Conference League

Zimbru has a head-to-head record of 1 win and 0 draws against FC Noah in their only meeting. The sole match took place in the UEFA Europa Conference League, where Zimbru secured a narrow 1-0 victory. This scoreline indicates a tightly contested fixture, with Zimbru managing to edge out FC Noah without any significant margin. As it stands, FC Noah has yet to register a win against Zimbru, making their historical record one-sided despite the limited sample size.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
ZimbruFC Noah
1.83Goals p.g.2.75
0.83Goals conceded p.g.0.83
50%Clean sheets50%
50%Win rate67%
2.67Avg goals in match3.58
Zimbru
Recent Form

Zimbru have won 3 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Sireți 1-1 and beat CSF Bălți 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 3D 3L from the last 12 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: ZimbruAll competitions
18 Jul
Zimbru
1-1
Sireți
Super Liga
12 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
4-2
Zimbru
Super Liga
05 Jul
Zimbru
3-0
CSF Bălți
Super Liga
27 Jun
Milsami Orhei
0-0
Zimbru
Super Liga
23 May
Sheriff Tiraspol
2-0
Zimbru
Cupa
17 May
Zimbru
1-1
Petrocub
Super Liga
6
Win
50%
3
Draw
25%
3
Lost
25%
FC Noah
Recent Form

FC Noah have won 5 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include drew with CFR 1907 Cluj 1-1 and drew with Mura 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 3D 1L from the last 12 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC NoahAll competitions
16 Jul
FC Noah
2-0
Syunik
Friendlies Clubs
15 Jul
FC Noah
2-0
Van
Friendlies Clubs
07 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
1-1
FC Noah
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
Mura
1-1
FC Noah
Friendlies Clubs
28 Jun
Aluminij
0-2
FC Noah
Friendlies Clubs
23 Jun
Koper
2-0
FC Noah
Friendlies Clubs
8
Win
67%
3
Draw
25%
1
Lost
8%

Lineups

Confirmed

Zimbru4-1-4-1Confirmed

4Cristian GontaDEF
23MarcelloDEF
35Nikolay ZolotovDEF
14Rayvien RosarioFWD
88Ivan DokićGK
8Matteo AmorosoMID
73Ștefan BîtcaMID
7Tudor ButucelMID
77Serafim CojocariMID
98Victor StinaMID
7Caio DantasMID
3Kevin BerkeleyDEF
2Ilie NegruDEF
18Alexandru GutiumDEF
44Sergiu UngureanuDEF
99Alexandru BetivuFWD
92Cristian SîrghiGK
12Artem OdintsovGK
24Thiago CeijasMID
10Eugeniu CociucMID
20Vlad RaileanuMID
11Jonathas Abimael da Silva ConceiçãoMID
22Ahmed BonnahMID

FC Noah4-2-3-1Confirmed

6Eric BoakyeDEF
33David SualeheDEF
4Stone Muzalimoja MamboDEF
39Nathanaël SaintiniDEF
9Mario GonzálezFWD
99Dani FigueiraGK
23Aram KhamoyanMID
14Takuto OshimaMID
17Gustavo SangaréMID
7Hélder FerreiraMID
44Marin JakolišMID
21Michael PavlovićDEF
19Hovhannes HambardzumyanDEF
5Mark AvetisyanDEF
3Sergey MuradyanDEF
18Mamadou DoumbiaFWD
8Marko LazetićFWD
24Zaven KhudaverdyanFWD
77Davit DavtyanGK
29Arthur Luiz ConeglianGK
10Gor ManvelyanMID
20Valentin CostacheMID
98Brian OddeiMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Zimbru

No reported absences

FC Noah

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Both Teams Score1.80 (55.3%)
Value Bets
Zimbru Win4.41 (28.6%)
FC Noah Win1.69 (49.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.86 (54.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.88 (45.7%)
BTTS No1.90 (44.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.58 (21.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

K. Koppel has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by K. Koppel to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Zimbru average 1.8 goals per match at home; FC Noah 2.8 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

FC Noah have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 67% of their matches and averaging 2.8 goals per game. FC Noah player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.