Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ettifaq to win against Al-Nassr, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Al-Ettifaq enters this match in a strong position, having finished second in the previous season. While they have yet to play this season, their recent form shows they secured one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Their ability to score and maintain pressure could provide an advantage when they face Al-Nassr. On the other hand, Al-Nassr has struggled recently, with their last five matches yielding only two wins and three losses. This inconsistency may hinder their performance as they look to start the season on a positive note. With both teams having played no matches yet this season, their recent form could be a significant factor in determining the outcome. The model suggests a win probability of around 60% for Al-Ettifaq, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market to note is the odds on Al-Ettifaq securing victory. However, a potential caveat is that if Al-Nassr can capitalize on any early-season jitters from Al-Ettifaq, they could disrupt the predicted outcome. For a detailed explanation of how these predictions are formulated, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is based on an in-house model evaluating expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.2% probability.
Al-Nassr have been the stronger side, winning 78% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Al-Nassr win as the most likely scoreline at 12.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Al-Nassr are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 9.20 | 5.60 | 1.28 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 1.55 | 2.25 | |
| 7.90 | 5.65 | 1.24 | 1.28 | 3.08 | 1.56 | 2.21 | |
| 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.25 | 1.30 | 3.40 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 7.52 | 6.36 | 1.26 | 1.30 | 3.36 | — | — | |
| 6.09 | 4.94 | 1.25 | — | — | — | — | |
| 7.50 | 5.50 | 1.25 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.25 | |
| 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.27 | 1.33 | 3.40 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 8.60 | 6.16 | 1.26 | 1.28 | 3.08 | 1.56 | 2.25 | |
| 7.50 | 5.60 | 1.26 | 1.29 | 3.40 | 1.52 | 2.35 | |
Betano | 7.80 | 6.00 | 1.32 | 1.33 | 3.35 | 1.60 | 2.27 |
Superbet | 8.00 | 6.10 | 1.30 | 1.33 | 3.35 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 8.50 | 5.75 | 1.25 | 1.30 | 3.30 | 1.55 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Nassr leads 5-2)In the last 10 matches between Al-Ettifaq and Al-Nassr, Al-Ettifaq has won 2 times, there have been 3 draws, and Al-Nassr has won 5 times. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in draws and a mix of narrow and more decisive victories. Notably, three of Al-Nassr's wins were by a single goal, suggesting tight contests, while Al-Ettifaq's victories included one match with a 3-2 scoreline. The last time Al-Ettifaq defeated Al-Nassr was in February 2025, indicating a recent trend of Al-Nassr having the upper hand.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Nassr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Al-Ettifaq | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Al Kholood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WD |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 17 |  Abha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 18 |  Al Riyadh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Ettifaq have won 6 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Al-Ettifaq 4-2 and beat Al-Ettifaq 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 5D 10L from the last 25 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Nassr have won 11 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al-Nassr 0-4 and beat Al Diriyah 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 1D 5L from the last 27 games (78% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Ettifaq
No reported absences
Al-Nassr
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Ettifaq have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Al-Nassr 7.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Nassr have generated 1.88 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 78% of them. They put 6.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Nassr player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
