Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha
Match Preview
The model favours Al Taawon to win against Al-Fayha, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al Taawon enters the new season in 11th place, which suggests they have a solid foundation to build upon, despite their mixed form in the last five matches with one win, two draws, and two losses. Their ability to score and concede has been balanced, but they will need to turn their recent performances into more consistent results to climb the standings. On the other hand, Al-Fayha finds themselves at the bottom of the league table in 17th place. Their recent form has been concerning, with no wins and four losses in their last five matches, highlighting their struggles both offensively and defensively. This lack of momentum could weigh heavily on their confidence as they start the season. According to our model, Al Taawon has a strong win probability for this fixture, while Al-Fayha will be eager to turn their fortunes around. However, a key caveat is that both teams are starting from scratch this season, and early jitters or tactical adjustments could influence the outcome. For a detailed breakdown of our prediction method, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.1% probability.
Al Taawon have been the stronger side, winning 26% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Al Taawon win as the most likely scoreline at 15.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Al Taawon clean sheets, in line with their 17% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Al Taawon are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.80 | 3.65 | 4.10 | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.73 | 1.95 | |
| 1.70 | 3.56 | 4.15 | 1.84 | 1.86 | 1.77 | 1.89 | |
| 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 | |
| 1.79 | 3.81 | 4.00 | 1.90 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 1.60 | 3.33 | 4.08 | 1.83 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.00 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.85 | |
| 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.76 | 3.70 | 4.30 | 1.86 | 1.88 | 1.77 | 1.92 | |
| 1.66 | 3.65 | 4.40 | 1.80 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 1.94 | |
Betano | 1.78 | 3.75 | 4.45 | 1.90 | 1.95 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
Superbet | 1.77 | 3.80 | 4.45 | 1.87 | 1.95 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.33 | 1.82 | 1.86 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al Taawon leads 4-1)In their last 10 encounters, Al Taawon has won 4 matches, Al-Fayha has won 1, and there have been 5 draws. The scorelines indicate a relatively balanced competition, with a notable frequency of draws highlighting the competitive nature of their matchups. Al Taawon has had some dominant performances, including a 4-1 victory, but there have also been closely contested matches, such as several 1-1 draws. Al-Fayha's only win came in February 2026, suggesting they have struggled to secure victories in this matchup historically.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Al-Ettifaq | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Al Kholood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WD |
| 12 | Al Taawon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 15 | Al-Fayha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 17 |  Abha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 18 |  Al Riyadh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl Taawon have won 2 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Al Taawon 0-0 and drew with Al Taawon 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 8D 9L from the last 23 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Al-Fayha have won 3 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al-Adalah 0-2 and lost to NEOM 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 4D 13L from the last 25 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl Taawon
No reported absences
Al-Fayha
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al Taawon have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; Al-Fayha 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al Taawon have generated 1.34 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 26% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al Taawon player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
