Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Ittihad FC to win against Al-Hazm, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Ittihad enters the season in a strong position, having finished third in the previous campaign. Despite a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, including two wins, they possess the potential to build on their previous success. The team's attacking capabilities and overall league standing suggest they have the edge in this matchup. On the other hand, Al-Hazm finds themselves in a more precarious situation. They ended last season in seventh place and have struggled for consistency, managing only one win in their last five outings. Their form indicates challenges in both scoring and defending, which could hinder their ability to compete against a team like Al-Ittihad. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Al-Ittihad, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market to watch is the over/under on total goals, which may reflect the anticipated competitive nature of the match. However, a potential caveat for Al-Ittihad could be the pressure of early-season expectations, which can sometimes lead to unexpected outcomes. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.3% probability.
Al-Ittihad FC have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Al-Ittihad FC win as the most likely scoreline at 13.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Al-Ittihad FC clean sheets, in line with their 29% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Al-Ittihad FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.50 | 4.40 | 5.40 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.60 | 2.15 | |
| 1.44 | 4.33 | 5.40 | 1.48 | 2.33 | 1.61 | 2.12 | |
| 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 1.52 | 4.84 | 5.26 | 1.55 | 2.47 | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.00 | 4.80 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.15 | |
| 1.48 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.60 | 1.48 | 2.33 | 1.61 | 2.16 | |
Betano | 1.55 | 4.65 | 5.30 | 1.55 | 2.52 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.33 | 5.50 | 1.53 | 2.29 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Al-Ittihad FC leads 5-1)In the last 10 matches between Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Hazm, Al-Ittihad FC has won 5 times, drawn 4 matches, and Al-Hazm has won just once. This record indicates a dominant performance by Al-Ittihad FC, particularly evident in their 3-0 and 2-0 victories. The scorelines suggest a tendency for close contests, with four matches ending in draws, but Al-Hazm's sole victory came back in October 2019. Overall, Al-Ittihad FC has consistently had the upper hand in this fixture, highlighting their strength in historical matchups against Al-Hazm.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Al-Ettifaq | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  NEOM | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Al Kholood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WD |
| 7 | Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WD |
| 9 | Al-Hazm | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 17 |  Abha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 18 |  Al Riyadh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAl-Ittihad FC have won 6 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Al-Ittihad FC 1-1 and lost to Al-Ittihad FC 1-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 8L from the last 28 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Hazm have won 2 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al Bukayriyah 2-3 and beat Abha 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 8L from the last 21 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAl-Ittihad FC4-4-2Confirmed
Al-Hazm3-5-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAl-Ittihad FC
No reported absences
Al-Hazm
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Al-Ittihad FC have averaged 4.9 corners per match at home; Al-Hazm 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Ittihad FC have generated 1.63 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Ittihad FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
