NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Match Preview
The model favours Al-Qadisiyah FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against NEOM. Al-Qadisiyah FC enters the new season with a solid foundation, currently positioned 10th in the league. Their recent form has been promising, with three wins, one draw, and just one loss in their last five matches. This indicates a level of consistency that could serve them well as they aim to build momentum in the early stages of the season. On the other hand, NEOM finds themselves in a challenging position, starting the season at 15th in the standings. While they have also shown potential with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, they will need to translate this form into the new campaign effectively. With no competitive matches played yet this season, it remains to be seen how they will adapt to the demands of the Pro League. The model indicates that Al-Qadisiyah FC has a strong win probability heading into this match, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a caveat exists; NEOM's ability to surprise and their potential to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Al-Qadisiyah FC could alter the outcome. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that assesses fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.5% probability.
Al-Qadisiyah FC have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC win as the most likely scoreline at 13.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Al-Qadisiyah FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 5.20 | 4.10 | 1.57 | 1.55 | 2.40 | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 4.85 | 4.20 | 1.50 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.55 | 2.23 | |
| 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.53 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 5.22 | 4.45 | 1.56 | 1.53 | 2.54 | — | — | |
| 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.55 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.25 | |
| 4.50 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 5.03 | 4.36 | 1.56 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.55 | 2.27 | |
| 4.30 | 3.85 | 1.63 | 1.49 | 2.50 | 1.49 | 2.40 | |
Betano | 5.20 | 4.30 | 1.60 | 1.57 | 2.47 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 5.00 | 4.10 | 1.53 | 1.50 | 2.36 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (Al-Qadisiyah FC leads 2-0)In the last two matches between NEOM and Al-Qadisiyah FC, the record stands at 0 wins for NEOM and 2 wins for Al-Qadisiyah FC. The scorelines indicate a relatively one-sided contest, with Al-Qadisiyah FC winning both encounters, including a narrow 1-0 victory and a more decisive 3-1 win. This suggests that NEOM has struggled to compete effectively against Al-Qadisiyah FC, and they have not managed to secure a win in their previous meetings.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Al-Ettifaq | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | NEOM | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Al Kholood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WD |
| 8 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | LW |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 17 |  Abha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 18 |  Al Riyadh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonNEOM have won 6 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat NEOM 2-1 and beat NEOM 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 7L from the last 26 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Al-Qadisiyah FC have won 9 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Al Taee 0-5 and beat Al Shabab 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 3L from the last 24 games (63% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersNEOM
No reported absences
Al-Qadisiyah FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
NEOM have averaged 5.4 corners per match at home; Al-Qadisiyah FC 9.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 8.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Al-Qadisiyah FC have generated 2.70 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 62% of them. They put 6.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Al-Qadisiyah FC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
