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Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Fateh Prediction, Tips & Odds

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Fateh

Pro LeagueRegular Season - 3
Al-Faisaly FC
#14 ยท Pro League
LLLWW
VS
Al-Fateh
#16 ยท Pro League
LLLLD

Match Preview

The model favours Al-Faisaly FC to win against Al-Fateh, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Faisaly enters this match with a strong recent form, having won their last five matches. While their season statistics are not available, their momentum from previous performances suggests they are a team capable of carrying that success into the new season. On the other hand, Al-Fateh has struggled recently, with only one victory in their last five matches, along with three losses. This inconsistent form could hinder their confidence as they start the new season. With both teams starting fresh, it will be crucial for Al-Fateh to turn around their form quickly to compete effectively. According to our model, Al-Faisaly has a win probability of approximately 60%, with the projected score reflecting their current momentum. However, a potential caveat is that both teams are starting the season anew, and early fixtures can often lead to unexpected results as players adjust. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Al-Fateh leads 4-3)
3 Al-Faisaly FC3 Draw4 Al-Fateh
Mar 22
Al-Faisaly FC
1-0
Al-Fateh
Pro League
Feb 22
Al-Fateh
4-1
Al-Faisaly FC
Pro League
Apr 21
Al-Faisaly FC
2-3
Al-Fateh
Pro League
Dec 20
Al-Fateh
3-2
Al-Faisaly FC
Pro League
Feb 20
Al-Fateh
2-2
Al-Faisaly FC
Pro League
Sept 19
Al-Faisaly FC
3-2
Al-Fateh
Pro League
Apr 19
Al-Faisaly FC
1-1
Al-Fateh
Pro League
Dec 18
Al-Fateh
1-1
Al-Faisaly FC
Pro League
Mar 18
Al-Faisaly FC
0-2
Al-Fateh
Pro League
Nov 17
Al-Fateh
0-5
Al-Faisaly FC
Pro League

The head-to-head record between Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Fateh shows Al-Fateh with 4 wins, Al-Faisaly FC with 3 wins, and 3 matches ending in draws over the last 10 encounters. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested, such as the 2-2 and 1-1 draws. However, there have been instances of lopsided results, like Al-Faisaly's 5-0 victory in 2017 and Al-Fateh's 4-1 win in 2022. Al-Faisaly's last win over Al-Fateh was in March 2022, suggesting that Al-Fateh has had the upper hand recently.

Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Al-Ittihad FC
32105327
WWD
2
Al-Nassr
22007076
WW
3
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
22007256
WW
4
Al-Ahli Jeddah
22005056
WW
5
Al-Ettifaq
22005236
WW
6
Al-Qadisiyah FC
32015236
WLW
14
Al-Faisaly FC
200226-40
LL
16
Al-Fateh
200204-40
LL
17
Abha
200216-50
LL
18
Al Riyadh
200228-60
LL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Al-Faisaly FCHome
0W0D1L
1 playedGF 0 ยท GA 20.00 pts/game
Al-FatehAway
0W0D1L
1 playedGF 0 ยท GA 30.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Al-Faisaly FCAl-Fateh
2.15Goals p.g.0.91
1.08Goals conceded p.g.1.78
46%Clean sheets13%
69%Win rate13%
3.23Avg goals in match2.7
1.19xG per game1.21
0.62xGA per game0.26
54%Possession %48%
4.0Shots on target / game4.4
1.0Corners per game4.2
Al-Faisaly FC
Recent Form

Al-Faisaly FC have won 4 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to NEOM 0-2 and lost to NEOM 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 1D 3L from the last 13 games (69% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Al-Faisaly FCAll competitions
21 Aug
Al-Faisaly FC
0-2
NEOM
Pro League
18 Aug
Al-Faisaly FC
1-3
NEOM
King's Cup
14 Aug
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4-2
Al-Faisaly FC
Pro League
01 Aug
Beltinci
1-3
Al-Faisaly FC
Friendlies Clubs
14 May
Al-Faisaly FC
4-0
Al Baten
Division 1
09 May
Al Bukayriyah
0-2
Al-Faisaly FC
Division 1
9
Win
69%
1
Draw
8%
3
Lost
23%
Al-Fateh
Recent Form

Al-Fateh have won 0 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al Ula 3-0 and lost to Al-Nassr 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 3W 7D 13L from the last 23 games (13% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Al-FatehAll competitions
22 Aug
Al-Fateh
0-1
Al-Ettifaq
Pro League
19 Aug
Al Ula
3-0
Al-Fateh
King's Cup
15 Aug
Al-Nassr
3-0
Al-Fateh
Pro League
25 Jul
Mallorca
3-0
Al-Fateh
Friendlies Clubs
21 May
Al Kholood
0-0
Al-Fateh
Pro League
14 May
Al-Fateh
2-0
Al Najma
Pro League
3
Win
13%
7
Draw
30%
13
Lost
57%

Lineups

๐Ÿ“‹

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Al-Faisaly FC

No reported absences

Al-Fateh

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.