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Al-Fayha vs Abha Prediction, Tips & Odds

Al-Fayha vs Abha

Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4
Al-Fayha
#14 ยท Pro League
DLWLL
VS
King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Abha
#15 ยท Pro League
DLDLD

Match Preview

The model favours Al-Fayha to win this match against Abha, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Fayha currently sits in 14th place after their opening game, where they suffered a loss. Despite the setback, they have shown potential in their recent five matches, although they have struggled with four losses and one draw. Their goal differential of -1 indicates that while they have scored, they have also been vulnerable defensively. Abha finds themselves just above Al-Fayha in 13th position, also having lost their first match of the season. Their recent form mirrors that of Al-Fayha, with four losses and one draw in their last five games. Like their opponents, Abha has also faced difficulties in both scoring and defending, reflected in their own goal differential of -1. This matchup sees two teams looking to find their footing early in the season. The model provides a win probability of 55% for Al-Fayha, alongside the projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is that both teams have struggled recently, which could lead to an unpredictable outcome. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results from both teams throughout the season.

Head to Head

Last 9 Meetings (Al-Fayha leads 3-2)
3 Al-Fayha4 Draw2 Abha
Feb 24
Al-Fayha
3-2
Abha
Pro League
Aug 23
Abha
2-1
Al-Fayha
Pro League
Mar 23
Al-Fayha
2-0
Abha
Pro League
Sept 22
Abha
1-1
Al-Fayha
Pro League
Jun 22
Abha
0-0
Al-Fayha
Pro League
Dec 21
Al-Fayha
0-0
Abha
Pro League
Dec 21
Al-Fayha
4-0
Abha
King's Cup
Mar 20
Al-Fayha
0-2
Abha
Pro League
Oct 19
Abha
1-1
Al-Fayha
Pro League

Al-Fayha hold the edge in this fixture, winning 3 of the last 9 meetings with 4 draws and 2 Abha wins. The record points to a tie Al-Fayha have controlled for years, though the draws show Abha have at times kept it tight.

Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Al-Nassr
330010289
WWW
2
Al-Ittihad FC
32105327
WWD
3
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
22007256
WW
4
Al-Ahli Jeddah
22005056
WW
5
Al-Qadisiyah FC
32015236
WLW
6
Al-Ettifaq
32017526
LWW
14
Al-Fayha
301215-41
DLL
15
Abha
301227-51
DLL
16
Al Riyadh
3012511-61
DLL
17
Al-Faisaly FC
200226-40
LL
18
Al-Fateh
200204-40
LL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Al-FayhaHome
0W0D1L
1 playedGF 0 ยท GA 30.00 pts/game
AbhaAway
0W0D1L
1 playedGF 0 ยท GA 40.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Al-FayhaAbha
1.19Goals p.g.1.07
1.58Goals conceded p.g.1.4
27%Clean sheets27%
31%Win rate40%
2.77Avg goals in match2.47
0.93xG per game0.76
-0.21xGA per game-0.64
44%Possession %55%
3.7Shots on target / game3.7
4.6Corners per game4.7
Al-Fayha
Recent Form

Al-Fayha have won 5 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Al-Fayha 0-3 and lost to Al-Fayha 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 13L from the last 26 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Al-FayhaAll competitions
25 Aug
Al Taawon
0-0
Al-Fayha
Pro League
20 Aug
Al-Fayha
0-3
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Pro League
17 Aug
Al-Adalah
0-2
Al-Fayha
King's Cup
14 Aug
NEOM
2-1
Al-Fayha
Pro League
31 Jul
Den Bosch
2-0
Al-Fayha
Friendlies Clubs
22 Jul
KVC Westerlo
0-0
Al-Fayha
Friendlies Clubs
8
Win
31%
5
Draw
19%
13
Lost
50%
Abha
Recent Form

Abha have won 3 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-0 and drew with Al Orubah 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 3D 6L from the last 15 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: AbhaAll competitions
25 Aug
Abha
1-1
Al Khaleej Saihat
Pro League
22 Aug
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-0
Abha
Pro League
16 Aug
Al Orubah
0-0
Abha
King's Cup
13 Aug
Abha
1-2
Al-Hazm
Pro League
31 Jul
Rizespor
0-0
Abha
Friendlies Clubs
19 Jul
Sharjah FC
2-1
Abha
Friendlies Clubs
6
Win
40%
3
Draw
20%
6
Lost
40%

Lineups

๐Ÿ“‹

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Al-Fayha

No reported absences

Abha

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.