Al-Fayha vs Abha Prediction, Tips & Odds
Al-Fayha vs Abha


Match Preview
The model favours Al-Fayha to win this match against Abha, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Al-Fayha currently sits in 14th place after their opening game, where they suffered a loss. Despite the setback, they have shown potential in their recent five matches, although they have struggled with four losses and one draw. Their goal differential of -1 indicates that while they have scored, they have also been vulnerable defensively. Abha finds themselves just above Al-Fayha in 13th position, also having lost their first match of the season. Their recent form mirrors that of Al-Fayha, with four losses and one draw in their last five games. Like their opponents, Abha has also faced difficulties in both scoring and defending, reflected in their own goal differential of -1. This matchup sees two teams looking to find their footing early in the season. The model provides a win probability of 55% for Al-Fayha, alongside the projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is that both teams have struggled recently, which could lead to an unpredictable outcome. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results from both teams throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Al-Fayha leads 3-2)

















Al-Fayha hold the edge in this fixture, winning 3 of the last 9 meetings with 4 draws and 2 Abha wins. The record points to a tie Al-Fayha have controlled for years, though the draws show Abha have at times kept it tight.
Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 9 | WWW | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | WWD | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 | WW | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WW | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | WLW | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | LWW | |
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | DLL | |
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | DLL | |
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 | DLL | |
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LL | |
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | LL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 Season
Al-Fayha have won 5 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Al-Fayha 0-3 and lost to Al-Fayha 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 13L from the last 26 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.













Abha have won 3 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-0 and drew with Al Orubah 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 3D 6L from the last 15 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.












Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 players
Al-Fayha
No reported absences
Abha
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.





