Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe Prediction, Tips & Odds
Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe
Match Preview
The model favours Union Santa Fe to win against Aldosivi, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Union Santa Fe is currently positioned 8th in the league, demonstrating a more competitive season with 21 points from 16 matches. They have scored a total of 24 goals, averaging 1.5 goals per game, which highlights their attacking capabilities. Despite a recent dip in form, their overall performance this season indicates a stronger side compared to their opponent. Aldosivi, on the other hand, sits 14th in the standings with just 8 points from 16 matches, having not secured a single victory yet this season. Their record of 0 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses reflects significant struggles, particularly in both scoring and defending, with only 6 goals scored and 19 conceded. This lack of offensive output has hindered their ability to compete effectively in the league. The model gives Union Santa Fe a high win probability, reflecting their season performance and overall standings. However, a potential caveat could be Aldosivi's ability to frustrate opponents defensively, as they have managed to earn draws despite their poor record. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Aldosivi have kept a clean sheet in 25% of matches. Union Santa Fe average 1.3 goals per game.
Aldosivi manage games at home, conceding just 1.17 goals per match. Union Santa Fe score 1.31 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.8% probability.
Union Santa Fe have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Union Santa Fe are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.55 | 2.92 | 2.25 | 2.62 | 1.48 | 2.10 | 1.65 | |
| 2.82 | 2.93 | 2.66 | 2.42 | 1.45 | 2.05 | 1.67 | |
| 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.63 | 2.63 | 1.47 | 2.15 | 1.67 | |
| 2.90 | 3.05 | 2.77 | 2.71 | 1.50 | — | — | |
| 3.35 | 2.85 | 2.08 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.80 | 2.88 | 2.62 | — | — | 2.10 | 1.67 | |
| 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.60 | 1.48 | 2.10 | 1.67 | |
| 2.87 | 2.98 | 2.71 | 2.42 | 1.45 | 2.05 | 1.69 | |
| 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.60 | 2.50 | 1.49 | 2.06 | 1.68 | |
| 3.40 | 2.80 | 2.25 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
Betano | 2.87 | 3.05 | 2.67 | 2.65 | 1.50 | 2.07 | 1.70 |
Superbet | 2.95 | 3.00 | 2.65 | 2.72 | 1.46 | 2.20 | 1.63 |
BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.70 | 2.44 | 1.47 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Union Santa Fe leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches between Aldosivi and Union Santa Fe, Union Santa Fe has won 5 times, Aldosivi has 3 wins, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested; however, Union Santa Fe has secured more victories, including a few narrow wins. The presence of low-scoring draws, such as the 0-0 encounters, suggests that defensive tactics often play a role in these fixtures. Aldosivi's last victory over Union Santa Fe was in October 2025, highlighting a challenging trend as they seek to improve their head-to-head record.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | WLLWL |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | LWLWD |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WLLLL |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DDWDL |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DDWWW |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAldosivi have won 2 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 8 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Tigre 0-0 and lost to Gimnasia L.P. 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 10D 11L from the last 24 games (13% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Union Santa Fe have won 3 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Union Santa Fe 1-0 and lost to Gimnasia M. 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 10L from the last 26 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAldosivi4-4-2Confirmed
Union Santa Fe4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAldosivi
No reported absences
Union Santa Fe
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
B. Amiconi has averaged 6.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Aldosivi have averaged 3.7 corners per match at home; Union Santa Fe 5.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Union Santa Fe have generated 0.99 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 31% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Union Santa Fe player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
