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Argentinos JRS vs Racing Club Prediction, Tips & Odds

Argentinos JRS vs Racing Club

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 4
Argentinos JRS
#3 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LWWWW
2 - 1
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos Aires
Referee: P. Dovalo
Racing Club
#8 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WLLLD
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.52
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.45 (implied 69.0%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 71.5% probability (an expert ratio of 1.40). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (71.5% vs 69.0%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Argentinos JRS to win against Racing Club, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Argentinos JRS currently sits in third place in the league, boasting a solid season with eight wins, five draws, and just three losses from 16 matches. Their goal difference of +4, achieved through scoring 17 goals while conceding 13, highlights their strong defensive capabilities. Recent form shows they have secured three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, indicating a competitive edge. On the other hand, Racing Club is positioned eighth in the standings, with five wins, six draws, and five losses from their 16 matches, resulting in 21 points. They have a goal difference of +2, scoring 17 goals and allowing 15. Their recent performance has been mixed, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, suggesting they are capable of pulling off surprises but may struggle against stronger opponents. The model gives Argentinos JRS a win probability of 60%, projecting a final score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that if Racing Club can leverage their recent form momentum and catch Argentinos off guard, they could secure at least a draw. The full method of this analysis is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Argentinos JRS Win49%2.14
Draw27%2.93
Racing Club Win25%3.87
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.6357.1%

Argentinos JRS have kept a clean sheet in 48% of matches. Racing Club average 1.3 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.4564.3%

Argentinos JRS manage games at home, conceding just 0.78 goals per match. Racing Club score 1.25 on the road.

Correct Score
Argentinos JRS 1-0 Racing Club
5.2819.0%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 19.0% probability.

Asian Handicap
Argentinos JRS -0.5
2.0643%

Argentinos JRS have been the stronger side, winning 56% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
5.28
19.0%
1-1
5.60
17.9%
0-0
6.09
16.5%
0-1
7.74
13.0%
2-0
8.65
11.7%
2-1
9.03
11.1%

Our model projects a 1-0 Argentinos JRS win as the most likely scoreline at 19.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Argentinos JRS clean sheets, in line with their 48% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Argentinos JRS
-0.0
1.45
Racing Club
+0.0
2.68
Argentinos JRS
-0.3
1.82
Racing Club
+0.3
3.30
Argentinos JRS
-0.5
2.06
Racing Club
+0.5
3.50
Argentinos JRS
-1.5
4.50
Racing Club
+1.5
9.50

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Argentinos JRS are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Argentinos JRS vs Racing Club
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.122.963.802.701.452.201.60
Marathonbet
2.102.913.962.481.432.151.61
Betfair
2.103.003.902.631.472.151.67
Pinnacle
2.172.984.192.841.46
SBO
2.122.853.46
William Hill
2.102.803.802.201.62
Bet365
2.202.804.102.701.442.101.67
1xBet
2.152.934.062.541.412.161.62
Unibet
2.163.003.752.751.422.251.57
888Sport
2.152.883.602.601.442.201.62
Betano
2.182.924.052.651.522.071.70
Superbet
2.173.003.902.751.462.221.61
BetVictor
2.103.103.802.501.452.201.60

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
84.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
61.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
35.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
17.5%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XArgentinos JRS or Draw
75%1.24
12Argentinos JRS or Racing Club
73%1.37
X2Draw or Racing Club
52%1.67

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Racing Club leads 5-4)
4 Argentinos JRS0 Draw5 Racing Club
07 Feb
Racing Club
2-1
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 25
Argentinos JRS
4-1
Racing Club
Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 25
Racing Club
2-3
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
May 24
Racing Club
3-0
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 23
Argentinos JRS
1-0
Racing Club
Liga Profesional Argentina
Sept 22
Racing Club
1-0
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
Feb 22
Racing Club
3-0
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
Sept 21
Argentinos JRS
2-0
Racing Club
Liga Profesional Argentina
Mar 21
Racing Club
1-0
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
Apr 20
Racing Club
-
Argentinos JRS
Copa de la Superliga

In the last 10 matches between Argentinos JRS and Racing Club, Argentinos JRS has won 4 times, Racing Club has won 5 times, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested; however, Racing Club has secured three wins by a margin of two or more goals, suggesting they have had the upper hand in some encounters. Argentinos JRS’s last victory against Racing Club came in 2025, while Racing Club has won the most recent fixture in February 2026, showing a slight edge in recent performances.

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Estudiantes L.P.
169431971231
LWLLW
1
Independ. Rivadavia
16104229151434
DLWLW
2
River Plate
1692522121029
DWLLL
2
Boca Juniors
168622291330
DDDWD
3
Argentinos JRS
168531713429
LWWWW
3
Velez Sarsfield
167721812628
DDDWW
8
Racing Club
165651715221
DLLLD
14
Newells Old Boys
163671527-1215
WWLDL
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
161213524-195
DLLDL
15
Deportivo Riestra
16187512-711
DLWLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Argentinos JRSHome
6W3D0L
9 playedGF 10 · GA 42.33 pts/game
Racing ClubAway
3W3D3L
9 playedGF 10 · GA 81.33 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Argentinos JRSRacing Club
1.19Goals p.g.1.25
0.78Goals conceded p.g.1.06
48%Clean sheets34%
56%Win rate38%
1.96Avg goals in match2.31
1.52xG per game1.07
-0.11xGA per game-0.15
60%Possession %56%
5.3Shots on target / game4.0
5.6Corners per game4.6
Argentinos JRS
Recent Form

Argentinos JRS have won 10 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Argentinos JRS 2-1 and beat Argentinos JRS 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 5L from the last 27 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Argentinos JRSAll competitions
16 Aug
River Plate
2-0
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
09 Aug
Argentinos JRS
2-1
Racing Club
Liga Profesional Argentina
01 Aug
Belgrano Cordoba
0-1
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
29 Jul
Argentinos JRS
3-0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Liga Profesional Argentina
23 Jul
Sarmiento Junin
2-3
Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional Argentina
17 May
Argentinos JRS
1-1
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
15
Win
56%
7
Draw
26%
5
Lost
19%
Racing Club
Recent Form

Racing Club have won 5 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Argentinos JRS 2-1 and drew with Rosario Central 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 9D 11L from the last 32 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Racing ClubAll competitions
19 Aug
Racing Club
1-0
Belgrano Cordoba
Copa Argentina
14 Aug
Racing Club
0-1
Banfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
09 Aug
Argentinos JRS
2-1
Racing Club
Liga Profesional Argentina
01 Aug
Racing Club
1-3
Tigre
Liga Profesional Argentina
29 Jul
Rosario Central
0-0
Racing Club
Liga Profesional Argentina
24 Jul
Racing Club
2-1
Gimnasia L.P.
Liga Profesional Argentina
12
Win
38%
9
Draw
28%
11
Lost
34%

Lineups

Confirmed

Argentinos JRS4-3-1-2Confirmed

22Kevin CoronelDEF
16Francisco ÁlvarezDEF
6Franco VázquezDEF
20Sebastián PrietoDEF
27Tomás MolinaFWD
9Gastón VerónFWD
25Brayan CortésGK
11Nicolas OrozMID
10Alan LescanoMID
15Kevin GutiérrezMID
8Hernán López MuñozMID
13Santino GianiniDEF
37Thiago GomezDEF
50Diego RodríguezGK

Racing Club

Not yet available

Unavailable Players

0 players

Argentinos JRS

No reported absences

Racing Club

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.45 (64.3%)
BTTS No1.63 (57.1%)
Value Bets
Argentinos JRS Win2.14 (48.5%)
Draw2.93 (26.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.65 (35.7%)
Both Teams Score2.17 (42.9%)
Speculative
Racing Club Win3.87 (24.9%)

Yellow Card Prediction

P. Dovalo has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Argentinos JRS have averaged 5.6 corners per match at home; Racing Club 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Argentinos JRS have generated 1.52 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 56% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Argentinos JRS player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.