Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI Prediction, Tips & Odds
Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI
Match Preview
The model favours Aris Thessalonikis to win this match against OFI, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Aris enters the new season with a strong finish to last season, securing four wins in their last five matches, which suggests they are in good form and ready to make an impact. Their recent performances will likely give them confidence as they take on OFI. In contrast, OFI has had a more challenging recent run, managing only one win in their last five matches. This inconsistency could affect their morale as they begin the new season. Positioned third in the standings despite having yet to play, they will need to quickly find their rhythm if they wish to compete effectively against a team like Aris. The model indicates a win probability of 60% for Aris, while OFI stands at 25%, with a draw at 15%. One caveat to consider is that both teams are starting the season fresh, and early match jitters could influence performance. For a deeper understanding of the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team details their in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Aris Thessalonikis manage games at home, conceding just 1.27 goals per match. OFI score 1.54 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.2% probability.
Aris Thessalonikis have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Aris Thessalonikis win as the most likely scoreline at 17.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Aris Thessalonikis clean sheets, in line with their 32% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Aris Thessalonikis are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Aris Thessalonikis vs OFI| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.76 | 3.54 | 4.50 | 2.11 | 1.70 | 1.94 | 1.75 | |
| 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.33 | — | — | — | — | |
Betano | 1.80 | 3.45 | 4.90 | 2.18 | 1.72 | 1.98 | 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (OFI leads 5-4)In the last 10 matches between Aris Thessalonikis and OFI, the record stands at Aris Thessalonikis winning 4 times, drawing 1, and OFI winning 5 times. This indicates a competitive rivalry, with OFI having a slight edge. The scorelines reveal a mix of narrow and more decisive outcomes, with several matches ending in close scores such as 1-1 and 2-0. However, OFI has secured three wins by a margin of two or more goals, suggesting they can dominate when in form. The last victory for Aris Thessalonikis came in December 2023, showing a recent competitiveness in their encounters.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 4 | OFI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 |  Panathinaikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  Asteras Tripolis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 |  Kalamata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 13 |  Atromitos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 14 |  Iraklis 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAris Thessalonikis have won 3 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Aris Thessalonikis 3-0 and beat Aris Thessalonikis 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 8D 5L from the last 22 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
OFI have won 4 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with AEK Athens FC 2-2 and lost to Willem II 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 5D 9L from the last 24 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAris Thessalonikis
No reported absences
OFI
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Aris Thessalonikis have averaged 6.5 corners per match at home; OFI 1.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Aris Thessalonikis have generated 1.25 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Aris Thessalonikis player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
