Panetolikos vs Kalamata Prediction, Tips & Odds
Panetolikos vs Kalamata
Match Preview
The model favours Kalamata to win this match against Panetolikos, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Kalamata enters the new season in a strong position, having finished at the top of the standings last season. Their recent form, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, suggests they have momentum on their side as they look to carry that success into the current campaign. On the other hand, Panetolikos is starting the season from a lower point, as they finished in 12th place last season. Their recent form is concerning, with two losses and three draws in their last five matches, indicating they struggled to convert matches into wins. The lack of recent victories may weigh heavily on their confidence as they begin their campaign. The model indicates a win probability of around 65% for Kalamata, with a projected score of 2-0. However, it's important to note that both teams are starting the season with no points, and unexpected results can occur in opening matches. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Panetolikos have kept a clean sheet in 12% of matches. Kalamata average 1.7 goals per game.
Panetolikos manage games at home, conceding just 1.44 goals per match. Kalamata score 1.69 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.3% probability.
Panetolikos have been the stronger side, winning 20% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Panetolikos clean sheets, in line with their 12% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Panetolikos are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Panetolikos vs Kalamata| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.11 | 3.28 | 3.40 | 2.19 | 1.65 | 1.89 | 1.79 | |
| 2.13 | 3.28 | 3.40 | 2.19 | 1.65 | 1.89 | 1.81 | |
Betano | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 1.67 | 1.93 | 1.80 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Kalamata leads 1-0)The head-to-head record between Panetolikos and Kalamata stands at 0 wins for Panetolikos, 1 draw, and 1 win for Kalamata over the last three matches. The results show a competitive dynamic, with one match ending in a draw and Kalamata securing a victory with a notable score of 4-2. Notably, Panetolikos has yet to win against Kalamata in this sample, which also includes a goalless friendly. The scoring patterns indicate that while there have been high-scoring encounters, the overall record suggests a slight edge for Kalamata in their recent meetings.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  OFI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 |  Panathinaikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 |  Asteras Tripolis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | Kalamata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 13 |  Atromitos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 14 |  Iraklis 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPanetolikos have won 2 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Panetolikos 1-2 and drew with Panetolikos 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 7D 13L from the last 25 games (20% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Kalamata have won 5 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 0. Their recent away fixtures include beat Volos NFC 0-2 and drew with Marko 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 1D 2L from the last 13 games (77% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPanetolikos
No reported absences
Kalamata
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Panetolikos average 1.0 goals per match at home; Kalamata 1.7 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Panetolikos have generated 1.09 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 20% of them. They put 3.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Panetolikos player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
