Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca Prediction, Tips & Odds
Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca
Match Preview
The model favours Atlante FC to win against CF Pachuca, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Atlante currently sits in 13th place with 6 points after 6 matches, having secured 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses this season. Their goal tally shows they have scored 6 goals while conceding 8, resulting in a goal difference of -2. Despite a challenging recent form of two draws and three losses, Atlante's position in the standings gives them a slight edge over their opponents. CF Pachuca, on the other hand, is positioned just below Atlante in 14th place with only 4 points from 5 matches. Their record includes 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal difference of 0, having scored 7 and conceded 7. Although they managed to secure a win in their last five matches, their overall performance this season has not been consistent enough to suggest they can turn the tide against Atlante. The model output gives Atlante a win probability of 55%, while Pachuca's chance stands at 25%, with a 20% likelihood of a draw. One caveat for Atlante is their recent struggle to secure wins, which could present an opportunity for Pachuca if they can capitalize on any defensive lapses. For further details on the methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis was conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.6% probability.
CF Pachuca have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. CF Pachuca are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.98 | 3.45 | 2.24 | 1.77 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 2.94 | 3.22 | 2.33 | 1.95 | 1.81 | 1.72 | 1.98 | |
| 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 3.04 | 3.40 | 2.44 | 2.04 | 1.85 | — | — | |
| 2.81 | 3.10 | 2.31 | 2.03 | 1.81 | — | — | |
| 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.25 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.00 | |
| 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 2.96 | 3.22 | 2.35 | 1.95 | 1.81 | 1.72 | 2.01 | |
| 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.12 | 1.70 | 2.04 | 1.56 | 2.18 | |
| 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.15 | 1.80 | 1.85 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 2.92 | 3.40 | 2.37 | 1.95 | 1.90 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
Superbet | 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.27 | 1.85 | 1.97 | 1.66 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.90 | 1.78 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Atlante FC leads 1-0)In their only recent encounter, Atlante FC has won against CF Pachuca, with a record of 1 win and 0 draws for Atlante FC. The match ended with a decisive score of 4-0, indicating a one-sided affair. This heavy defeat for Pachuca suggests that they struggled defensively, while Atlante FC demonstrated a strong attacking performance. There have been no draws between these teams in this sample, and Pachuca has not won in their last match against Atlante FC.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Toluca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 5 |  Club Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 6 |  Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 | LWLWD |
| 9 | CF Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 11 | WWDDL |
| 15 | Atlante FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LDDLD |
| 16 |  Atletico San Luis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | LWDLD |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAtlante FC have won 3 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to CF Pachuca 0-3 and drew with Leon 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 7D 9L from the last 21 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
CF Pachuca have won 8 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat CF Pachuca 0-3 and beat FC Juarez 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 6D 9L from the last 32 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAtlante FC
No reported absences
CF Pachuca
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Atlante FC have averaged 3.5 corners per match at home; CF Pachuca 4.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
CF Pachuca have generated 1.10 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. CF Pachuca player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
