Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca Prediction, Tips & Odds
Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca
Match Preview
The model favours CF Pachuca to win against Atletico San Luis, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Despite Pachuca's current position in the standings, their form has shown some resilience, with a recent win amidst a challenging stretch. They sit in 13th place with one victory, two losses, and four goals scored, indicating their potential to find the net when needed. Atletico San Luis has struggled this season, currently positioned 15th in the league. They have yet to secure a win, with two draws and one loss from their first three matches. Their goal difference of -1 suggests defensive vulnerabilities, as they have conceded five goals while managing to score just four. This lack of consistency may hinder their chances against a team like Pachuca, which has shown the ability to score despite their own struggles. The model gives Pachuca a win probability of 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage indicates confidence in Pachuca's ability to secure the win. However, it is important to note that if Atletico San Luis can capitalize on their home advantage and improve their defensive organization, they could disrupt Pachuca's plans. The full method of analysis used by The Daily Punt Analysis Team is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.2% probability.
CF Pachuca have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. CF Pachuca are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.05 | 3.45 | 2.22 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 2.92 | 3.44 | 2.24 | 1.77 | 2.00 | 1.61 | 2.15 | |
| 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 3.02 | 3.65 | 2.34 | 1.81 | 2.08 | — | — | |
| 2.89 | 3.25 | 2.20 | 1.80 | 2.04 | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.15 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.05 | |
| 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.94 | 3.44 | 2.26 | 1.77 | 2.00 | 1.61 | 2.18 | |
| 3.20 | 3.45 | 2.06 | 1.72 | 2.06 | 1.56 | 2.18 | |
| 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.15 | 1.80 | 1.85 | 1.65 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 3.05 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.83 | 2.02 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
Superbet | 3.05 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.82 | 2.00 | 1.64 | 2.17 |
BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (CF Pachuca leads 5-3)In the last 10 encounters between Atletico San Luis and CF Pachuca, CF Pachuca has won 5 times, while Atletico San Luis has secured 3 victories, with 2 matches ending in draws. The scorelines suggest a relatively competitive rivalry, as three of the matches were decided by a single goal, indicating tight contests. However, CF Pachuca has demonstrated a slight edge overall, with their victories including a 2-0 win, which reflects a capacity for heavier scoring. Notably, Atletico San Luis has not won against CF Pachuca in the last five meetings, highlighting a current challenge for them in this matchup.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Toluca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 5 |  Club Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 6 |  Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 | LWLWD |
| 9 | CF Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 11 | WWDDL |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | LWDLD |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAtletico San Luis have won 5 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Guadalajara Chivas 0-3 and drew with CF Pachuca 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 8D 13L from the last 30 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
CF Pachuca have won 8 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat CF Pachuca 0-3 and beat FC Juarez 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 6D 9L from the last 32 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAtletico San Luis
No reported absences
CF Pachuca
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Escobedo Gonzalez has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Atletico San Luis have averaged 3.8 corners per match at home; CF Pachuca 4.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
CF Pachuca have generated 1.10 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. CF Pachuca player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
