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Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction, Tips & Odds

Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC

BundesligaRegular Season - 3
Austria Lustenau
#6 · Bundesliga
LDWLD
2 - 1
Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau
Referee: J. Semler
Wolfsberger AC
#5 · Bundesliga
LDWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.77
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.73 (implied 57.8%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 60.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.66). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (60.3% vs 57.8%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Wolfsberger AC to win against Austria Lustenau, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Wolfsberger AC has demonstrated strong form recently, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. This consistent performance suggests a solid cohesion within the squad, making them a formidable opponent. In contrast, Austria Lustenau has had a mixed run of results, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency could hinder their ability to compete effectively against a team like Wolfsberger AC, especially given their recent struggles to maintain form. According to the model's analysis, Wolfsberger AC has a strong win probability heading into this match. However, Austria Lustenau could pose a challenge if they manage to capitalize on any defensive lapses from their opponents. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Austria Lustenau Win34%3.35
Draw24%3.32
Wolfsberger AC Win43%2.10
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7352.8%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.8551.5%

Austria Lustenau manage games at home, conceding just 0.92 goals per match. Wolfsberger AC score 2.03 on the road.

Correct Score
Austria Lustenau 1-1 Wolfsberger AC
6.1516.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.3% probability.

Asian Handicap
Wolfsberger AC -0.0
1.5437%

Wolfsberger AC have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.15
16.3%
0-1
7.12
14.1%
1-2
8.13
12.4%
0-2
9.51
10.7%
0-0
9.51
10.6%
1-0
9.54
10.6%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Austria Lustenau
-0.0
2.41
Wolfsberger AC
+0.0
1.54
Austria Lustenau
-0.3
2.80
Wolfsberger AC
+0.3
1.83
Austria Lustenau
-0.5
3.35
Wolfsberger AC
+0.5
1.90
Austria Lustenau
-1.5
7.00
Wolfsberger AC
+1.5
4.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Wolfsberger AC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.703.451.951.951.831.771.91
Marathonbet
3.353.352.111.901.871.702.01
Betfair
3.303.402.051.901.871.752.05
Pinnacle
3.473.452.201.981.90
SBO
3.043.122.171.971.89
William Hill
3.303.102.101.752.00
Bet365
3.253.402.201.951.851.752.00
1xBet
3.323.342.141.921.851.712.02
Unibet
3.553.301.941.881.791.711.95
888Sport
3.303.102.101.911.831.752.00
Betano
3.303.402.121.931.851.722.00
BetVictor
3.303.402.151.871.801.702.00

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.1%
Over 1.5 Goals
72.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
48.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
28.4%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XAustria Lustenau or Draw
57%1.71
12Austria Lustenau or Wolfsberger AC
76%1.29
X2Draw or Wolfsberger AC
66%1.29

Head to Head

Last 9 Meetings (Wolfsberger AC leads 4-2)
2 Austria Lustenau3 Draw4 Wolfsberger AC
Apr 24
Austria Lustenau
1-2
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga
Apr 24
Wolfsberger AC
1-1
Austria Lustenau
Bundesliga
Nov 23
Austria Lustenau
2-3
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga
Aug 23
Wolfsberger AC
1-1
Austria Lustenau
Bundesliga
Jun 23
Wolfsberger AC
1-2
Austria Lustenau
Bundesliga
May 23
Wolfsberger AC
2-2
Austria Lustenau
Bundesliga
Apr 23
Austria Lustenau
1-3
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga
Mar 23
Wolfsberger AC
0-1
Austria Lustenau
Bundesliga
Oct 22
Austria Lustenau
1-3
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga

In the last nine matches between Austria Lustenau and Wolfsberger AC, the record stands at 2 wins for Austria Lustenau, 3 draws, and 4 wins for Wolfsberger AC. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with both teams capable of securing narrow victories; however, Wolfsberger AC has achieved three wins by a margin of two goals. Draws have also been a notable feature, occurring in one-third of the matches. Austria Lustenau last defeated Wolfsberger AC in June 2023, highlighting that recent encounters have been closely contested, though Wolfsberger AC holds a slight edge in the overall record.

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rapid Vienna
3300111109
WWW
2
Lask Linz
33009189
WWW
3
Red Bull Salzburg
32105147
WDW
4
Sturm Graz
32104137
WWD
5
Wolfsberger AC
31115324
LDW
6
Austria Lustenau
31114404
WLD
10
Ried
301237-41
LLD
11
WSG Wattens
301227-51
LLD
12
TSV Hartberg
300305-50
LLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Austria LustenauHome
1W1D0L
2 playedGF 3 · GA 22.00 pts/game
Wolfsberger ACAway
0W0D1L
1 playedGF 1 · GA 20.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Austria LustenauWolfsberger AC
1Goals p.g.2.03
0.92Goals conceded p.g.1.22
38%Clean sheets34%
38%Win rate44%
1.92Avg goals in match3.25
xG per game1.40
xGA per game-0.23
Possession %47%
Shots on target / game3.2
Corners per game3.5
Austria Lustenau
Recent Form

Austria Lustenau have won 4 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Austria Lustenau 1-1 and beat Austria Lustenau 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 4D 4L from the last 13 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Austria LustenauAll competitions
08 Aug
Grazer AK
2-1
Austria Lustenau
Bundesliga
02 Aug
Austria Lustenau
1-1
Ried
Bundesliga
25 Jul
Krems / Rehberg
0-1
Austria Lustenau
Cup
16 Jul
Nürnberg II
1-0
Austria Lustenau
Friendlies Clubs
15 Jul
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1-1
Austria Lustenau
Friendlies Clubs
10 Jul
Austria Lustenau
1-0
FC Aarau
Friendlies Clubs
5
Win
38%
4
Draw
31%
4
Lost
31%
Wolfsberger AC
Recent Form

Wolfsberger AC have won 5 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Wolfsberger AC 2-1 and beat Lauterach 1-5.

Overall, the wider run reads 14W 8D 10L from the last 32 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Wolfsberger ACAll competitions
15 Aug
Austria Lustenau
2-1
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga
09 Aug
Wolfsberger AC
1-1
Red Bull Salzburg
Bundesliga
02 Aug
Wolfsberger AC
3-0
Austria Vienna
Bundesliga
24 Jul
Lauterach
1-5
Wolfsberger AC
Cup
20 Jul
Velden
0-4
Wolfsberger AC
Friendlies Clubs
17 Jul
Wolfsberger AC
6-1
SV Kapfenberg
Friendlies Clubs
14
Win
44%
8
Draw
25%
10
Lost
31%

Lineups

Confirmed

Austria Lustenau4-2-3-1Confirmed

7Fabian GmeinerDEF
3Danilo SoaresDEF
29Niklas PertlwieserDEF
15Chukwu EmmanuelDEF
39Antonio VerinacFWD
27Domenik SchierlGK
8Dion KacuriMID
17Albin GashiMID
24Seydou DiarraMID
20Lord AfrifaMID
11Dominik WeixelbraunMID
31Matthias MaakDEF
18Robin VoisineDEF
26Lukas IbertsbergerDEF
9Lenn JastremskiFWD
14Precious BenjaminFWD
30Phillip BohmGK
19Sacha DelayeMID
23Pius GrabherMID
61Haris IsmailcebiogluMID

Wolfsberger AC3-4-2-1Confirmed

15Cheick Mamadou DiabateDEF
37Nicolas WimmerDEF
6Raffael BehounekDEF
17Marco SchabauerFWD
9Giacomo VrioniFWD
10Donis AvdijajFWD
1Lukas GütlbauerGK
30Marco SulznerMID
31Fabian WohlmuthMID
11Aaron Sky SchwarzMID
19Otar MamageishviliMID
77René RennerDEF
35Matteo KitzDEF
23Phillip VerhounigFWD
49Sankara KaramokoFWD
32Markus PinkFWD
21David SkublGK
34Emmanuel AgyemangMID
8Simon PiesingerMID
20Thorsten SchrieblMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Austria Lustenau

No reported absences

Wolfsberger AC

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Austria Lustenau Win3.35 (33.6%)
Wolfsberger AC Win2.10 (42.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.92 (48.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.85 (51.5%)
Both Teams Score1.73 (52.8%)
BTTS No1.99 (47.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.32 (23.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

J. Semler has averaged 2.5 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Austria Lustenau average 1.0 goals per match at home; Wolfsberger AC 2.0 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Wolfsberger AC have generated 1.40 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 3.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Wolfsberger AC player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.