Austria Vienna vs Lask Linz Prediction, Tips & Odds
Austria Vienna vs Lask Linz
Match Preview
The model favours Austria Vienna to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Austria Vienna comes into this match on a strong run of form, having secured three wins and two draws in their last five matches. This consistency in performance has likely bolstered their confidence, and their ability to find the net regularly will be crucial against Lask Linz. On the other hand, Lask Linz is struggling, with only two wins in their last five matches, accompanied by three losses. This dip in form could impact their morale and overall performance. They will need to improve significantly to challenge Austria Vienna, particularly in defence, as conceding goals has been an issue during this stretch. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Austria Vienna, suggesting they are the clear favourites in this encounter. However, a caveat to consider is that if Lask Linz can find their rhythm and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Austria Vienna, they could turn the match in their favour. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.0% probability.
Lask Linz have been the stronger side, winning 66% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Lask Linz are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Austria Vienna vs Lask Linz| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 3.82 | 3.75 | 1.84 | 1.72 | 2.08 | 1.63 | 2.11 | |
| 3.90 | 3.75 | 1.85 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 4.00 | 3.87 | 1.90 | 1.76 | 2.15 | — | — | |
| 3.61 | 3.43 | 1.85 | 1.74 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.91 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.80 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 3.80 | 3.75 | 1.86 | 1.72 | 2.08 | 1.63 | 2.14 | |
| 3.60 | 3.55 | 1.92 | 1.71 | 1.98 | 1.60 | 2.10 | |
| 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.78 | 1.72 | 2.07 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
Superbet | 3.85 | 3.65 | 1.85 | 1.71 | 2.02 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
BetVictor | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.83 | 1.68 | 2.02 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Lask Linz leads 4-2)In the last 10 encounters between Austria Vienna and Lask Linz, each team has won 4 matches, while there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with Lask Linz achieving two notable wins by margins of 4-1 and 3-1, suggesting they have had some dominance in heavy victories. However, several matches have been closely contested, with four matches ending in draws and several tight one-goal margins. Austria Vienna's last victory against Lask Linz was in December 2024, indicating they may have struggled to secure wins in recent fixtures.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Lask Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 | WDW |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | WWD |
| 5 |  Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | LDW |
| 6 |  Austria Lustenau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 8 | Austria Vienna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 10 |  Ried | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 11 |  WSG Wattens | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 12 |  TSV Hartberg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAustria Vienna have won 6 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Austria Vienna 1-2 and lost to Austria Vienna 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 10L from the last 30 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lask Linz have won 9 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Austria Vienna 0-2 and beat Kalsdorf 0-7.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 5D 6L from the last 32 games (66% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAustria Vienna3-4-2-1Confirmed
Lask Linz3-4-1-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAustria Vienna
No reported absences
Lask Linz
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Talic has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Austria Vienna have averaged 3.8 corners per match at home; Lask Linz 6.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Lask Linz have generated 2.38 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 66% of them. They put 6.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Lask Linz player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
