Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Vienna Prediction, Tips & Odds
Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Vienna
Match Preview
The model favours Austria Vienna to win this match against Beitar Jerusalem, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Austria Vienna enters this fixture with strong recent form, having gone unbeaten in their last five matches, with four wins and one draw. This impressive run highlights their attacking capabilities and solid defensive structure, which are crucial for success in knockout competitions like the UEFA Europa Conference League. On the other hand, Beitar Jerusalem has had a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss. While they have shown resilience, their inconsistency could be a concern against a well-performing side like Austria Vienna. The challenge for Beitar Jerusalem will be to convert their home advantage into a positive result, especially given the high stakes of this qualifying round. The model output suggests a win probability of approximately 60% in favour of Austria Vienna, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is that if Beitar Jerusalem can leverage their home crowd effectively and find an early goal, they could disrupt Austria Vienna's rhythm. For a complete understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.4% probability.
Beitar Jerusalem have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Beitar Jerusalem clean sheets, in line with their 36% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Beitar Jerusalem are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Vienna| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.06 | 3.35 | 3.38 | 2.00 | 1.77 | 1.78 | 1.90 | |
| 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.13 | 3.47 | 3.50 | 2.04 | 1.81 | 1.78 | 1.93 | |
| 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.55 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.81 | 1.86 | |
Betano | 2.05 | 3.35 | 3.55 | 2.00 | 1.78 | 1.80 | 1.91 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonBeitar Jerusalem have won 3 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to AEK Larnaca 2-3 and drew with Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 6D 2L from the last 14 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Austria Vienna have won 7 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Austria Vienna 3-0 and beat Wiener SC 0-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 6D 8L from the last 27 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBeitar Jerusalem
No reported absences
Austria Vienna
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Beitar Jerusalem have averaged 1.0 corners per match at home; Austria Vienna 5.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Beitar Jerusalem have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 43% of their matches and averaging 1.4 goals per game. They put 1.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Beitar Jerusalem player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
