Blackburn vs QPR Prediction, Tips & Odds
Blackburn vs QPR
Match Preview
The model favours QPR to win this match against Blackburn, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. QPR currently sits at the top of the Championship standings after their opening match, securing a solid victory with three goals scored and only one conceded. Their recent form has been impressive, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, showcasing their attacking prowess and defensive stability. Blackburn, on the other hand, is positioned in eighth place after one match, having drawn their opener with two goals scored and two conceded. Their recent form reflects a mixed bag, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five. While they have shown resilience, they will need to tighten their defence to compete effectively against a high-flying QPR side. The model outputs a win probability of 60% for QPR, indicating strong confidence in their ability to secure points from this fixture. However, a potential caveat is Blackburn's home advantage, which can often lead to unpredictable outcomes. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, utilising an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team carefully considers these factors to provide informed insights.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Blackburn manage games at home, conceding just 1.04 goals per match. QPR score 1.63 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.5% probability.
Blackburn have been the stronger side, winning 37% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Blackburn are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Blackburn vs QPR| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.33 | 3.32 | 2.92 | 2.00 | 1.78 | 1.76 | 1.93 | |
| 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.90 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.38 | 3.42 | 2.97 | 2.05 | 1.80 | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 2.35 | 3.32 | 2.93 | 2.00 | 1.78 | 1.76 | 1.96 | |
Betano | 2.40 | 3.35 | 3.00 | 2.07 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.95 |
BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 1.94 | 1.74 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Blackburn leads 6-4)The head-to-head record between Blackburn and QPR stands at 6 wins for Blackburn and 4 for QPR, with no draws in their last 10 encounters. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, though Blackburn has had the upper hand with several narrow victories, notably a 1-0 win on two occasions. QPR's victories include a tight 1-0 win, but they have also faced heavy defeats, such as a 4-0 loss to Blackburn. The competitive nature of the matches suggests that while Blackburn has a slight advantage, QPR has also shown they can secure wins against them.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Charlton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Wolves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | WD |
| 5 | QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | DW |
| 6 | Blackburn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WD |
| 22 |  Lincoln | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 23 |  Norwich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 24 |  Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | -1 | WL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBlackburn have won 4 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Middlesbrough 2-1 and beat Barnsley 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 9D 8L from the last 27 games (37% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
QPR have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Portsmouth 1-3 and beat AFC Wimbledon 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 10L from the last 27 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBlackburn
No reported absences
QPR
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Blackburn average 1.1 goals per match at home; QPR 1.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Blackburn have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 37% of their matches and averaging 1.1 goals per game. Blackburn player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
