Bodo/Glimt vs Lille Prediction, Tips & Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Lille
Match Preview
The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win against Lille, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Bodo/Glimt currently sits in 26th place in the standings, having played three matches in this season's UEFA Champions League. Their form has been promising, with four wins in their last five matches across all competitions, indicating a solid attacking capability with four goals scored and nine conceded in the league stage, resulting in a goal difference of -5. On the other hand, Lille is struggling at 34th in the standings, having played two matches without securing a win. They have scored only two goals while conceding six, which reflects their defensive vulnerabilities. Their recent form shows three wins out of five matches but does not translate well into their Champions League performance, as they have yet to earn any points in this campaign. The model indicates a win probability of 65% for Bodo/Glimt, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of Bodo/Glimt scoring over 1.5 goals, which stands at 70%. However, a potential caveat is that if Lille can improve their defensive organization, they may pose a greater challenge than their current statistics suggest. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | DWW |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBodo/Glimt have won 21 of their last 24 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Bodo/Glimt 1-0 and beat Bodo/Glimt 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 37W 5D 7L from the last 49 games (76% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lille have won 10 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Lille 3-0 and beat Toulouse 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 8D 9L from the last 34 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBodo/Glimt
No reported absences
Lille
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
