Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction, Tips & Odds
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon
Match Preview
The model favours Chongqing Tongliang Long to win this match against Qingdao Jonoon, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Chongqing currently sits in 9th place in the league standings, having accumulated 31 points from 26 matches. Their season has been marked by a somewhat balanced performance with 7 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses. However, their recent form has been concerning, with no wins in the last five matches, which has included three losses. In contrast, Qingdao Jonoon is struggling significantly, positioned at 16th with just 14 points from 27 matches. Their season has been disastrous, recording only 6 wins against 18 losses and a goal difference of -22. The team has not managed to secure a single point in their last five matches, showcasing a complete lack of form that could hinder their chances in this encounter. The model indicates a win probability of around 63% for Chongqing Tongliang Long, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of Chongqing winning at home. However, a potential caveat is that if Qingdao can improve defensively and find some form, they could pose a threat despite their poor track record. For more details on our predictions, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.2% probability.
Chongqing Tongliang Long have been the stronger side, winning 34% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long win as the most likely scoreline at 15.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Chongqing Tongliang Long clean sheets, in line with their 37% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Chongqing Tongliang Long are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.90 | 1.72 | 2.03 | 1.88 | 1.80 | |
| 1.43 | 4.42 | 6.71 | 1.72 | 2.07 | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.50 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 1.45 | 4.59 | 7.20 | 1.76 | 2.08 | 1.88 | 1.82 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Chongqing Tongliang Long leads 1-0)Chongqing Tongliang Long has a head-to-head record of 1 win and 0 losses against Qingdao Jonoon, with no draws in their only match. The scoreline from their encounter reveals a narrow victory for Chongqing, winning 1-0. This result indicates that the match was tightly contested, with neither side able to score multiple goals. Qingdao Jonoon has not won against Chongqing Tongliang Long in their past meeting, which may influence their confidence going forward.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 | LDLDL |
| 14 |  Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonChongqing Tongliang Long have won 6 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Shanghai Shenhua 1-3 and lost to Dalian Zhixing 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 12D 13L from the last 38 games (34% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Qingdao Jonoon have won 2 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 14. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Dalian Zhixing 2-1 and lost to SHANGHAI SIPG 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 22L from the last 38 games (21% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersChongqing Tongliang Long
No reported absences
Qingdao Jonoon
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Chongqing Tongliang Long have averaged 3.6 corners per match at home; Qingdao Jonoon 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Chongqing Tongliang Long have generated 0.64 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 34% of them. They put 2.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Chongqing Tongliang Long player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
