Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction, Tips & Odds
Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown
Match Preview
The model favours Shandong Luneng to win against Hangzhou Greentown, predicting a scoreline of 2-1. Shandong Luneng currently sits in 6th place in the league standings with 37 points from 26 matches, boasting a record of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses. Their goal difference of +3 indicates a competitive attack and decent defensive capabilities, notable given they have scored 46 goals while conceding 43. Recent form shows they have secured two wins in their last five matches, which suggests a slight upswing in performance. On the other hand, Hangzhou Greentown is positioned 10th in the league with 31 points from the same number of matches. Their record stands at 10 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal difference of +2, scoring 45 goals and conceding 43. They have also recorded two wins in their last five matches, but their overall position indicates inconsistency. This could play a crucial role as they face a higher-ranked opponent. The model gives Shandong Luneng a strong win probability for this match. Given their higher league position and slight edge in form, they are favoured to take the three points. However, a potential caveat is that if Hangzhou Greentown can exploit any defensive weaknesses, they could pose a threat and disrupt Shandong's plans. The full methodology of this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.2% probability.
Shandong Luneng have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Shandong Luneng win as the most likely scoreline at 11.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Shandong Luneng are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.69 | 4.33 | 3.80 | 1.25 | 3.28 | 1.31 | 3.08 | |
| 1.73 | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.25 | 3.80 | 1.30 | 3.40 | |
| 1.73 | 4.63 | 3.93 | 1.30 | 3.54 | — | — | |
| 1.66 | 3.73 | 3.24 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.73 | 4.20 | 3.75 | — | — | 1.30 | 3.20 | |
| 1.70 | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.28 | 3.60 | 1.33 | 3.25 | |
| 1.75 | 4.49 | 3.94 | 1.25 | 3.28 | 1.31 | 3.14 | |
Betano | 1.72 | 4.30 | 3.75 | 1.29 | 3.25 | 1.34 | 3.00 |
BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.25 | 3.60 | 1.29 | 3.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Shandong Luneng leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Shandong Luneng and Hangzhou Greentown, Shandong Luneng has won 6 times, with 2 draws and 2 victories for Hangzhou Greentown. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with Shandong securing notable wins, including a 4-2 and a 3-0, while Hangzhou's victories have been narrower, such as a 2-1 win. There have been 2 draws, both of which ended in high-scoring matches. Overall, Shandong Luneng has had the upper hand historically, but the recent results show Hangzhou can compete, particularly with their recent 2-1 win.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 | Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 31 | LWLWD |
| 14 |  Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonShandong Luneng have won 11 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Sichuan Jiuniu 1-1 and lost to SHANGHAI SIPG 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 9D 10L from the last 38 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Hangzhou Greentown have won 4 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Tianjin Teda 2-1 and drew with Sichuan Jiuniu 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 13D 13L from the last 37 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersShandong Luneng
No reported absences
Hangzhou Greentown
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Shandong Luneng have averaged 3.2 corners per match at home; Hangzhou Greentown 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Shandong Luneng have generated 2.50 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Shandong Luneng player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
