Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction, Tips & Odds
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
Match Preview
The model favours Yunnan Yukun to win against Chongqing Tongliang Long, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Yunnan Yukun currently sits in 4th place in the league, having secured 38 points from 26 matches. Their season has been characterized by a strong attacking presence, scoring 54 goals, which highlights their ability to find the back of the net. With three wins in their last five matches, Yunnan has shown resilience, particularly in their recent performances. In contrast, Chongqing Tongliang Long is positioned 9th in the standings with 31 points. Their campaign has been less successful, with only 7 wins from 26 matches. The team has struggled for consistency, managing no wins in their last five outings, which includes three losses and two draws. Their goal difference of -5 suggests defensive vulnerabilities that Yunnan Yukun could exploit. The model suggests a win probability of 55% for Yunnan Yukun, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is the likelihood of Yunnan winning by a single goal. However, a potential pitfall for Yunnan could be complacency, particularly against a team that has the potential to perform better than their current form suggests. The full methodology of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.1% probability.
Yunnan Yukun have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Yunnan Yukun win as the most likely scoreline at 13.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Yunnan Yukun clean sheets, in line with their 21% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Yunnan Yukun are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.75 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.62 | 2.25 | |
| 1.59 | 4.46 | 5.25 | 1.58 | 2.43 | — | — | |
| 1.58 | 3.54 | 3.78 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.80 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 1.62 | 4.10 | 4.50 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.63 | 4.35 | 4.92 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 2.26 | |
Betano | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.57 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.10 | 5.00 | 1.53 | 2.29 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Chongqing Tongliang Long leads 1-0)The head-to-head record between Yunnan Yukun and Chongqing Tongliang Long shows 0 wins for Yunnan Yukun, 3 draws, and 1 win for Chongqing Tongliang Long. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with three matches ending in draws, including two low-scoring encounters. Chongqing's lone victory came with a narrow 3-2 scoreline, suggesting that while they have had the upper hand, the matches have generally been closely contested. Yunnan Yukun has not won in the last four meetings, making it a challenging matchup for them historically.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 | LDLDL |
| 14 |  Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonYunnan Yukun have won 11 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Yunnan Yukun 5-0 and beat Yunnan Yukun 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 10D 13L from the last 39 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Chongqing Tongliang Long have won 7 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Yunnan Yukun 1-0 and drew with Henan Jianye 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 12D 13L from the last 38 games (34% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersYunnan Yukun
No reported absences
Chongqing Tongliang Long
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Yunnan Yukun have averaged 6.4 corners per match at home; Chongqing Tongliang Long 3.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Yunnan Yukun have generated 2.24 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Yunnan Yukun player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
