Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban Prediction, Tips & Odds
Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban
Match Preview
The model favours Shenyang Urban to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Qingdao Jonoon. Shenyang Urban currently sits in 13th place in the league standings, having accumulated 25 points from 26 matches. While their overall season has not been stellar, their goal difference of -13 demonstrates a slightly more competitive edge compared to their opponents. Shenyang has managed to score the same number of goals as Qingdao, but they have conceded fewer, which could play a crucial role in this matchup. Qingdao Jonoon, on the other hand, finds themselves at the bottom of the league in 16th place with just 14 points. Their form has been particularly concerning, with five consecutive losses that indicate a struggling side. The team's goal difference of -19 highlights their defensive vulnerabilities, as they have conceded 53 goals this season. This lack of resilience could be exploited by Shenyang Urban, who will look to take advantage of Qingdao's current woes. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Shenyang Urban, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage to note is their odds of winning at around 45%. However, a potential caveat is that if Qingdao can find a way to break their losing streak and capitalize on home advantage, they could pose a threat. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.9% probability.
Shenyang Urban have been the stronger side, winning 34% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Shenyang Urban win as the most likely scoreline at 12.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Shenyang Urban are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 6.20 | 4.85 | 1.39 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.58 | 2.20 | |
| 5.50 | 4.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 6.30 | 4.90 | 1.47 | 1.49 | 2.66 | — | — | |
| 5.03 | 4.03 | 1.36 | — | — | — | — | |
| 6.00 | 4.50 | 1.40 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 6.00 | 4.75 | 1.40 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 6.47 | 5.06 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.58 | 2.23 | |
Betano | 5.00 | 4.30 | 1.55 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 6.50 | 4.60 | 1.40 | 1.44 | 2.63 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (Qingdao Jonoon leads 2-0)In the last three matches between Qingdao Jonoon and Shenyang Urban, Qingdao Jonoon has won two and drawn one, while Shenyang Urban has not secured a victory. The scorelines indicate a relatively one-sided record, with Qingdao Jonoon achieving a 3-0 win and a 2-0 win, alongside a goalless draw. This suggests that Qingdao Jonoon has consistently outperformed Shenyang Urban, who has struggled to find the net in their encounters. Shenyang Urban's last win in this matchup is not recent, reflecting a challenging trend against Qingdao Jonoon in these fixtures.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 14 | Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonQingdao Jonoon have won 6 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Beijing Guoan 0-3 and lost to Wuhan Three Towns 1-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 22L from the last 38 games (21% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Shenyang Urban have won 3 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Shenyang Urban 5-0 and lost to Chengdu Better City 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 16L from the last 35 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersQingdao Jonoon
No reported absences
Shenyang Urban
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Qingdao Jonoon have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Shenyang Urban 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Shenyang Urban have generated 1.68 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 34% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Shenyang Urban player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
