Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction, Tips & Odds
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu
Match Preview
The model favours Dalian Zhixing to win against Sichuan Jiuniu, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Dalian Zhixing currently sits in second place in the league, having accumulated 40 points from 26 matches, with a record of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses. Their recent form has been strong, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, indicating a team that is finding its rhythm. Despite a negative goal difference of -4, their attacking potential is highlighted by having scored 38 goals this season. On the other hand, Sichuan Jiuniu occupies the 11th position with 28 points, resulting from 8 wins, 4 draws, and 14 losses. Their recent form has been less impressive, with only one win in their last five matches, alongside two draws and two losses. This inconsistency has contributed to a goal difference of -11, as they have conceded 45 goals while scoring only 34. The model predicts a win probability of approximately 60% for Dalian Zhixing, with a significant market expectation for them to secure the three points. However, a potential caveat is that if Dalian's defense continues to struggle, they could face difficulties against a motivated Sichuan Jiuniu side. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
Dalian Zhixing have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Dalian Zhixing are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Dalian Zhixing vs Sichuan Jiuniu| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.62 | 4.05 | 4.55 | 1.59 | 2.25 | 1.61 | 2.15 | |
| 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 1.66 | 4.27 | 4.82 | 1.63 | 2.33 | — | — | |
| 1.60 | 3.47 | 3.81 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.50 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.33 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.68 | 4.20 | 4.72 | 1.63 | 2.31 | 1.61 | 2.18 | |
Betano | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.30 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.60 | 1.58 | 2.19 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (Dalian Zhixing leads 1-0)In the last two matches between Dalian Zhixing and Sichuan Jiuniu, Dalian Zhixing has won once, with one match ending in a draw, while Sichuan Jiuniu has not secured a victory. The results show a competitive edge for Dalian Zhixing, with a close 2-1 win and a 1-1 draw, indicating that matches have been relatively tight. Sichuan Jiuniu's inability to win in these encounters highlights a challenging historical trend for them, as they have not claimed victory in their last two meetings.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 29 | DDLDW |
| 14 |  Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDalian Zhixing have won 10 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Qingdao Jonoon 2-1 and beat Shanghai Shenhua 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 15L from the last 37 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Sichuan Jiuniu have won 4 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 13. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Shandong Luneng 1-1 and beat Shenyang Urban 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 7D 19L from the last 38 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDalian Zhixing
No reported absences
Sichuan Jiuniu
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Dalian Zhixing have averaged 4.8 corners per match at home; Sichuan Jiuniu 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Dalian Zhixing have generated 2.39 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Dalian Zhixing player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.