Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga Prediction, Tips & Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga
Match Preview
The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win against Valerenga, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Bodo/Glimt currently sits in second place in the Eliteserien standings, boasting an impressive record of 17 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses from 22 matches. With 56 goals scored and only 20 conceded, they have a goal difference of +36, highlighting their strong attacking capabilities and solid defensive performance. In contrast, Valerenga finds themselves in 12th place, having played 21 matches with only 6 wins and 10 losses, resulting in 23 points. They have struggled throughout the season, reflected in their goal difference of -9, with 34 goals scored and 43 conceded. Their recent form, with just one win in the last five matches, further underscores their difficulties as they look to turn their season around. The model gives Bodo/Glimt a strong win probability, reflecting their position and form, while Valerenga will need to overcome significant challenges to secure a positive result. However, a potential caveat is that if Valerenga can find an unexpected burst of form or exploit any defensive lapses from Bodo/Glimt, they could make the match competitive. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.0% probability.
Bodo/Glimt have been the stronger side, winning 77% of their matches.
Our model projects a 3-0 Bodo/Glimt win as the most likely scoreline at 11.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Bodo/Glimt clean sheets, in line with their 38% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Bodo/Glimt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.10 | 9.50 | 16.00 | 1.12 | 4.70 | 1.61 | 2.15 | |
| 1.11 | 9.50 | 15.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.13 | 10.12 | 14.07 | 1.15 | 5.39 | — | — | |
| 1.12 | 6.95 | 9.64 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.12 | 9.00 | 15.00 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 1.12 | 8.50 | 13.00 | 1.18 | 4.50 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.11 | 10.70 | 18.00 | 1.12 | 4.70 | 1.61 | 2.18 | |
Betano | 1.14 | 8.25 | 14.00 | 1.19 | 4.40 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
BetVictor | 1.10 | 8.50 | 15.00 | 1.14 | 4.80 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Bodo/Glimt leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Bodo/Glimt and Valerenga, Bodo/Glimt has won 7 times, Valerenga has won once, and there have been no draws. The scorelines indicate a significant advantage for Bodo/Glimt, with several heavy victories, including a 7-2 win and a 6-0 win. Valerenga's sole victory came in November 2025, suggesting they have struggled historically against Bodo/Glimt. Overall, this record reflects a dominant performance by Bodo/Glimt, showcasing a trend of high-scoring matches and limited success for Valerenga in this fixture.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 20 | 38 | 56 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 56 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 40 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 | DDWLL |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 37 | WDWWW |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 36 | WDLWW |
| 11 | Valerenga | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 26 | WLDLD |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 24 | WLWLW |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 19 | LLLLW |
| 16 |  Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 16 | LLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBodo/Glimt have won 21 of their last 24 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Borussia Dortmund 1-0 and beat Kristiansund BK 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 36W 5D 6L from the last 47 games (77% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Valerenga have won 5 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to KFUM Oslo 2-1 and beat Skeid 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 7D 15L from the last 39 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBodo/Glimt
No reported absences
Valerenga
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Bodo/Glimt have averaged 6.4 corners per match at home; Valerenga 6.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bodo/Glimt have generated 1.87 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 77% of them. They put 5.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bodo/Glimt player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
